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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Birmingham v Preston: numbers & prediction

Championship · England · St. Andrew's Stadium
4–0
FT

Preston

LDLLW
Birmingham 60%Draw 23%Preston 17% Expected goals 1.81 – 0.86
59%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.70Odds

Picks by market

ResultBirmingham to win ✓60% · @1.60
Double chanceBirmingham or draw ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.25

Birmingham vs Preston: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Preston travel to face Birmingham on Tuesday 13 October in the Championship, with St. Andrew's Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Birmingham are 1st, leading the league, on 29 points after 15 matches; Preston are 24th (in the drop zone) with 8. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Birmingham, last 5: WDWLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over West Brom, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Preston, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Millwall, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Birmingham, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Preston.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Apr 2026) it ended Birmingham 2–1 Preston.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Birmingham 1.8 xG, Preston 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Birmingham 60%, draw 23%, Preston 17%.
  • Lower-risk option: Birmingham or draw (83%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Birmingham 1–1 Preston. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Birmingham60%fair 1.68 · @1.60
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @4.00
Preston17%fair 5.73 · @4.80
2.67Expected goals
1.81Birmingham xG
0.86Preston xG
59%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%

From our goals model: Birmingham 1.8 – 0.9 Preston expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBirmingham to win ✓60%1.681.60
Double chanceBirmingham or draw ✓83%1.211.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.691.70
Draw no betBirmingham (draw no bet) ✓77%1.29–
Asian handicapPreston +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗50%2.00–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72%1.39–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreBirmingham to score first ✓63%1.59–
Half-time resultBirmingham ahead at half-time ✓43%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT Birmingham / FT Birmingham ✓37%2.68–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.25–

Recent results

Birmingham – last 6

WDWLDD
10 Oct@ West Brom1–0W
19 Sepvs Middlesbrough2–2D
12 Sep@ Derby2–1W
9 Sep@ Norwich1–2L
6 Sepvs Wolves2–2D
1 Sepvs Southampton1–1D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Preston – last 6

LDLLWL
10 Octvs Millwall0–1L
19 Sep@ QPR2–2D
12 Sepvs Lincoln0–1L
8 Sep@ Watford1–2L
5 Sepvs Blackburn2–1W
1 Sepvs Bristol City1–3L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Apr 2026Birmingham v Preston2–1
Birmingham vs Preston head-to-head page →

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Birmingham15852+1429
2Middlesbrough15852+1129
3Stoke City15924+629
4Wolves15843+828
5West Brom15843+828
6Swansea15825+426
7Southampton15843+1424
8QPR15663+624
9West Ham15654+1423
10Sheffield Utd15645+222
11Portsmouth15645+222
12Norwich15708+821
13Blackburn15636-121
14Cardiff15465018
15Wrexham15465-218
16Millwall15537-418
17Bristol City15537-818
18Bolton15528-917
19Charlton15456-1017
20Watford15438-1015
21Lincoln15438-1115
22Burnley15177-910
23Derby15249-1610
24Preston152211-178

More Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Birmingham vs Preston?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Birmingham vs Preston?

On our numbers Birmingham have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Preston 17%.

How many goals will there be in Birmingham vs Preston?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Birmingham vs Preston?

Our predicted score is Birmingham 1–1 Preston, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Birmingham vs Preston?

Birmingham vs Preston (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at St. Andrew's Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.