Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultMillwall to win ✗44% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.13
Millwall vs Swansea: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 13 October the Championship brings Millwall against Swansea at The Den. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, Millwall are 16th, lower half, on 18 points after 15 matches; Swansea are 6th (upper half) with 26.
Current form
Millwall, last 5: WDDLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Preston, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Swansea, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Norwich, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Swansea, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Millwall.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Millwall 1.6 xG, Swansea 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Millwall 44%, draw 22%, Swansea 34%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Millwall 1–1 Swansea. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Millwall44%fair 2.29 · @2.40
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.30
Swansea34%fair 2.96 · @2.75
2.94Expected goals
1.58Millwall xG
1.36Swansea xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Millwall 1.6 – 1.4 Swansea expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Millwall to win✗
44%
2.29
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.68
1.67
Draw no bet
Millwall (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
Swansea +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
Millwall to score first✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Millwall / FT Millwall✗
25%
3.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.13
–
Recent results
Millwall – last 6
WDDLLW
10 Oct
@ Preston
1–0
W
19 Sep
vs West Ham
2–2
D
15 Sep
@ Middlesbrough
2–2
D
12 Sep
@ Blackburn
1–3
L
8 Sep
vs Newcastle
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Bolton
4–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Swansea – last 6
WWWLDW
10 Oct
vs Norwich
2–1
W
19 Sep
@ Lincoln
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs Burnley
3–1
W
8 Sep
@ Southampton
1–3
L
5 Sep
vs Wrexham
0–0
D
1 Sep
vs Watford
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Millwall and Swansea.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Millwall vs Swansea?
On our numbers Millwall have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Swansea 34%.
How many goals will there be in Millwall vs Swansea?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Millwall vs Swansea?
Our predicted score is Millwall 1–1 Swansea, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Millwall vs Swansea?
Millwall vs Swansea (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at The Den.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
