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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bristol City v Blackburn: numbers & prediction

Championship · England · Ashton Gate Stadium
0–1
FT
Bristol City 45%Draw 22%Blackburn 33% Expected goals 1.58 – 1.31
58%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.75Odds
2

Value bet: Blackburn to win @ 3.40 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultBristol City to win ✗45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.99

Bristol City vs Blackburn: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Bristol City welcome Blackburn to Ashton Gate Stadium for a Championship fixture on Tuesday 13 October (19:45 WAT). In the table, Bristol City are 17th, lower half, on 18 points after 15 matches; Blackburn are 13th (lower half) with 21. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Bristol City, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Charlton, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Blackburn, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Cardiff, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (24 Feb 2026) it ended Blackburn 1–2 Bristol City.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bristol City 1.6 xG, Blackburn 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bristol City 45%, draw 22%, Blackburn 33%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.75.
  • Price worth noting: Blackburn to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 33%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bristol City 1–1 Blackburn. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bristol City45%fair 2.21 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.30
Blackburn33%fair 3.03 · @3.40
2.89Expected goals
1.58Bristol City xG
1.31Blackburn xG
58%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–17%
2–07%

From our goals model: Bristol City 1.6 – 1.3 Blackburn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBristol City to win ✗45%2.212.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.721.75
Draw no betBristol City (draw no bet) ✗58%1.73–
Asian handicapBlackburn +1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78%1.28–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗55%1.81–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
First team to scoreBristol City to score first ✗52%1.93–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.47–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bristol City / FT Bristol City ✗26%3.82–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.99–

Recent results

Bristol City – last 6

DWWLLW
10 Oct@ Charlton1–1D
3 Oct@ Crystal Palace2–0W
18 Sepvs Watford1–0W
15 Sepvs Lincoln0–1L
12 Sep@ Southampton1–4L
5 Sep@ Burnley2–1W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Blackburn – last 6

WDWLLD
10 Octvs Cardiff2–1W
19 Sep@ Portsmouth2–2D
12 Sepvs Millwall3–1W
8 Sepvs Sheffield Utd1–2L
5 Sep@ Preston1–2L
1 Sep@ Lincoln0–0D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Feb 2026Blackburn v Bristol City1–2
Bristol City vs Blackburn head-to-head page →

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Birmingham15852+1429
2Middlesbrough15852+1129
3Stoke City15924+629
4Wolves15843+828
5West Brom15843+828
6Swansea15825+426
7Southampton15843+1424
8QPR15663+624
9West Ham15654+1423
10Sheffield Utd15645+222
11Portsmouth15645+222
12Norwich15708+821
13Blackburn15636-121
14Cardiff15465018
15Wrexham15465-218
16Millwall15537-418
17Bristol City15537-818
18Bolton15528-917
19Charlton15456-1017
20Watford15438-1015
21Lincoln15438-1115
22Burnley15177-910
23Derby15249-1610
24Preston152211-178

More Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bristol City vs Blackburn?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Bristol City vs Blackburn?

On our numbers Bristol City have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Blackburn 33%.

How many goals will there be in Bristol City vs Blackburn?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bristol City vs Blackburn?

Our predicted score is Bristol City 1–1 Blackburn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Bristol City vs Blackburn?

Bristol City vs Blackburn (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Ashton Gate Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.