Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultBurnley to win ✗65% · @1.62
Double chanceBurnley or draw ✓88% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.47
Burnley vs Charlton: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Charlton travel to face Burnley on Tuesday 13 October in the Championship, with Turf Moor the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Burnley are 22nd, in the drop zone, on 10 points after 15 matches; Charlton are 19th (lower half) with 17.
Current form
Burnley, last 5: WDLDL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Watford, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Charlton, last 5: DLDDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Bristol City, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Burnley 2.0 xG, Charlton 0.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Burnley 65%, draw 23%, Charlton 12%.
Lower-risk option: Burnley or draw (88%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Burnley to win (65%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.53, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Burnley 1–0 Charlton. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Burnley65%fair 1.53 · @1.62
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.75
Charlton12%fair 8.62 · @5.00
2.72Expected goals
1.98Burnley xG
0.74Charlton xG
56%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Burnley 2.0 – 0.7 Charlton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Burnley to win✗
65%
1.53
1.62 ▲
Double chance
Burnley or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.80
Draw no bet
Burnley (draw no bet)
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Burnley -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Burnley to score first✓
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Burnley ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Burnley / FT Burnley✗
43%
2.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.47
–
Recent results
Burnley – last 6
WDLDLD
10 Oct
@ Watford
4–0
W
19 Sep
vs Derby
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Swansea
1–3
L
8 Sep
@ Wrexham
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Bristol City
1–2
L
2 Sep
vs Middlesbrough
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Charlton – last 6
DLDDLD
10 Oct
vs Bristol City
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Cardiff
1–3
L
12 Sep
vs Portsmouth
0–0
D
9 Sep
vs QPR
0–0
D
5 Sep
@ Stoke City
0–4
L
2 Sep
@ West Brom
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Burnley and Charlton.
Our pick is Burnley to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Burnley vs Charlton?
On our numbers Burnley have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Charlton 12%.
How many goals will there be in Burnley vs Charlton?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Burnley vs Charlton?
Our predicted score is Burnley 1–0 Charlton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Burnley vs Charlton?
Burnley vs Charlton (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Turf Moor.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
