Stoke City 34%Draw 21%Middlesbrough 45%Expected goals 1.45 – 1.72
62%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
1
Value bet: Stoke City to win @ 3.40 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMiddlesbrough to win ✓45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.11
Stoke City vs Middlesbrough: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Tuesday 13 October: Stoke City v Middlesbrough in the Championship, played at bet365 Stadium. In the table, Stoke City are 3rd, among the top four, on 29 points after 15 matches; Middlesbrough are 2nd (among the top four) with 29. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Stoke City, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Bolton, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Middlesbrough, last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Wolves, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Stoke City, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.8 for Middlesbrough.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Stoke City 1.5 xG, Middlesbrough 1.7 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Stoke City 34%, draw 21%, Middlesbrough 45%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Stoke City to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stoke City 1–1 Middlesbrough. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Stoke City34%fair 2.97 · @3.40
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.50
Middlesbrough45%fair 2.22 · @2.00
3.17Expected goals
1.45Stoke City xG
1.72Middlesbrough xG
62%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
2–27%
0–26%
From our goals model: Stoke City 1.5 – 1.7 Middlesbrough expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Middlesbrough to win✓
45%
2.22
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.62
Draw no bet
Middlesbrough (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Stoke City +1 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
–
First team to score
Middlesbrough to score first
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.61
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Middlesbrough / FT Middlesbrough✗
27%
3.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.11
–
Recent results
Stoke City – last 6
WWWDWW
10 Oct
@ Bolton
2–1
W
19 Sep
vs Sheffield Utd
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Watford
2–1
W
8 Sep
@ Cardiff
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Charlton
4–0
W
1 Sep
vs Norwich
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Middlesbrough – last 6
WDDWLW
10 Oct
vs Wolves
1–0
W
19 Sep
@ Birmingham
2–2
D
15 Sep
vs Millwall
2–2
D
12 Sep
vs Norwich
4–3
W
8 Sep
@ Crystal Palace
0–3
L
5 Sep
@ QPR
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stoke City and Middlesbrough.
What is the prediction for Stoke City vs Middlesbrough?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Stoke City vs Middlesbrough?
On our numbers Stoke City have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Middlesbrough 45%.
How many goals will there be in Stoke City vs Middlesbrough?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stoke City vs Middlesbrough?
Our predicted score is Stoke City 1–1 Middlesbrough, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Stoke City vs Middlesbrough?
Stoke City vs Middlesbrough (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at bet365 Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
