West Brom 58%Draw 25%Blackburn 17%Expected goals 1.69 – 0.81
83%
Betarazi pick
West Brom or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: West Brom to win @ 1.91 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultWest Brom to win ✓58% · @1.91
Double chanceWest Brom or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.53
West Brom vs Blackburn: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 17 October the Championship brings West Brom against Blackburn at The Hawthorns. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, West Brom are 5th, upper half, on 28 points after 15 matches; Blackburn are 13th (lower half) with 21.
Current form
West Brom, last 5: WLLDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Wrexham, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Blackburn, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Bristol City, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Apr 2026) it ended Blackburn 0–0 West Brom.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give West Brom 1.7 xG, Blackburn 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – West Brom 58%, draw 25%, Blackburn 17%.
Lower-risk option: West Brom or draw (83%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: West Brom to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was West Brom or draw (83%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.20, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: West Brom 1–0 Blackburn. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
West Brom58%fair 1.74 · @1.91
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.40
Blackburn17%fair 5.88 · @3.80
2.50Expected goals
1.69West Brom xG
0.81Blackburn xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: West Brom 1.7 – 0.8 Blackburn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for West Brom vs Blackburn?
Our pick is West Brom or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win West Brom vs Blackburn?
On our numbers West Brom have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Blackburn 17%.
How many goals will there be in West Brom vs Blackburn?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for West Brom vs Blackburn?
Our predicted score is West Brom 1–0 Blackburn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is West Brom vs Blackburn?
West Brom vs Blackburn (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at The Hawthorns.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
