Newport County 37%Draw 22%Colchester 41%Expected goals 1.31 – 1.40
61%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultColchester to win ✗41% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.74
Newport County vs Colchester: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 10 October: Newport County v Colchester in the League Two, played at Rodney Parade. In the table, Newport County are 14th, lower half, on 18 points after 14 matches; Colchester are 23rd (in the drop zone) with 12.
Current form
Newport County, last 5: DDWWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Plymouth, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Colchester, last 5: DDLDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Luton, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Newport County, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Colchester.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Newport County 1.3 xG, Colchester 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Newport County 37%, draw 22%, Colchester 41%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Newport County 1–1 Colchester. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Newport County37%fair 2.68 · @2.60
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.30
Colchester41%fair 2.44 · @2.45
2.71Expected goals
1.31Newport County xG
1.40Colchester xG
61%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Newport County 1.3 – 1.4 Colchester expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Colchester to win✗
41%
2.44
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.63
1.62
Draw no bet
Colchester (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Newport County +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Colchester to score first✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Colchester / FT Colchester✗
23%
4.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.74
–
Recent results
Newport County – last 6
DDWWDD
6 Oct
vs Plymouth
2–2
D
3 Oct
@ Gillingham
0–0
D
26 Sep
vs Grimsby
2–1
W
22 Sep
@ Swindon Town
2–0
W
19 Sep
@ Accrington ST
0–0
D
12 Sep
vs Fleetwood Town
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Colchester – last 6
DDLDDL
3 Oct
vs Luton
1–1
D
26 Sep
@ Shrewsbury
2–2
D
22 Sep
@ Peterborough
1–3
L
19 Sep
vs Cheltenham
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Crewe
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Swindon Town
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newport County and Colchester.
What is the prediction for Newport County vs Colchester?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Newport County vs Colchester?
On our numbers Newport County have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Colchester 41%.
How many goals will there be in Newport County vs Colchester?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newport County vs Colchester?
Our predicted score is Newport County 1–1 Colchester, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Newport County vs Colchester?
Newport County vs Colchester (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Rodney Parade.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
