Oldham 60%Draw 23%Accrington ST 17%Expected goals 1.93 – 0.95
83%
Betarazi pick
Oldham or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultOldham to win ✗60% · @1.73
Double chanceOldham or draw ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07
Oldham vs Accrington ST: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 10 October the League Two brings Oldham against Accrington ST at Boundary Park. Kick-off: 12:30 WAT. In the table, Oldham are 18th, lower half, on 15 points after 14 matches; Accrington ST are 9th (upper half) with 19.
Current form
Oldham, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Salford City, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Accrington ST, last 5: DWDDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Salford City, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Accrington ST, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Oldham.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Oldham 1.9 xG, Accrington ST 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Oldham 60%, draw 23%, Accrington ST 17%.
Lower-risk option: Oldham or draw (83%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Oldham or draw (83%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Oldham 1–0 Accrington ST. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Oldham60%fair 1.68 · @1.73
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.60
Accrington ST17%fair 5.72 · @4.20
2.88Expected goals
1.93Oldham xG
0.95Accrington ST xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
2–010%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Oldham 1.9 – 1.0 Accrington ST expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Oldham to win✗
60%
1.68
1.73
Double chance
Oldham or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.73
Draw no bet
Oldham (draw no bet)
77%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Oldham -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
First team to score
Oldham to score first✗
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Oldham ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Oldham / FT Oldham✗
38%
2.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.07
–
Recent results
Oldham – last 6
LWLLLD
26 Sep
vs Salford City
1–4
L
22 Sep
vs Fleetwood Town
1–0
W
19 Sep
@ Rochdale
0–2
L
12 Sep
vs Chesterfield
1–2
L
5 Sep
@ Tranmere
0–2
L
1 Sep
@ Fleetwood Town
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Accrington ST – last 6
DWDDDL
6 Oct
vs Salford City
1–1
D
3 Oct
vs Cheltenham
2–0
W
26 Sep
@ Swindon Town
1–1
D
22 Sep
vs Sunderland U21
3–3
D
19 Sep
vs Newport County
0–0
D
12 Sep
@ Barnet
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Oldham and Accrington ST.
What is the prediction for Oldham vs Accrington ST?
Our pick is Oldham or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Oldham vs Accrington ST?
On our numbers Oldham have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Accrington ST 17%.
How many goals will there be in Oldham vs Accrington ST?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Oldham vs Accrington ST?
Our predicted score is Oldham 1–0 Accrington ST, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Oldham vs Accrington ST?
Oldham vs Accrington ST (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Boundary Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
