Swindon Town 36%Draw 23%Crewe 42%Expected goals 1.05 – 1.17
60%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultCrewe to win ✓42% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.80
Swindon Town vs Crewe: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Crewe travel to face Swindon Town on Saturday 10 October in the League Two, with County Ground the venue – the ball rolls at 12:30 WAT. In the table, Swindon Town are 13th, lower half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Crewe are 4th (among the top four) with 22. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Swindon Town, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Rochdale, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Crewe, last 5: DWDWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Blackpool, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours Crewe, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.2 for Swindon Town.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Feb 2026) it ended Swindon Town 1–2 Crewe.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Swindon Town 1.0 xG, Crewe 1.2 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Swindon Town 36%, draw 23%, Crewe 42%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Swindon Town 1–1 Crewe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Swindon Town36%fair 2.81 · @2.60
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.25
Crewe42%fair 2.39 · @2.50
2.22Expected goals
1.05Swindon Town xG
1.17Crewe xG
60%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–011%
0–011%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Swindon Town 1.0 – 1.2 Crewe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Swindon Town vs Crewe?
On our numbers Swindon Town have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Crewe 42%.
How many goals will there be in Swindon Town vs Crewe?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Swindon Town vs Crewe?
Our predicted score is Swindon Town 1–1 Crewe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Swindon Town vs Crewe?
Swindon Town vs Crewe (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at County Ground.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
