Port Vale vs Grimsby: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 10 October: Port Vale v Grimsby in the League Two, played at Vale Park. In the table, Port Vale are 19th, lower half, on 15 points after 12 matches; Grimsby are 6th (upper half) with 20.
Current form
Port Vale, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Mansfield Town, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Grimsby, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Burton Albion, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Port Vale 1.1 xG, Grimsby 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Port Vale 37%, draw 23%, Grimsby 40%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Port Vale 1–1 Grimsby. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Port Vale37%fair 2.73 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.10
Grimsby40%fair 2.48 · @2.60
2.19Expected goals
1.06Port Vale xG
1.13Grimsby xG
57%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–011%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Port Vale 1.1 – 1.1 Grimsby expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Grimsby to win✗
40%
2.48
2.60
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.70
Draw no bet
Grimsby (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Port Vale +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Grimsby to score first✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Grimsby / FT Grimsby✗
21%
4.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
13.18
–
Recent results
Port Vale – last 6
WDLWLL
6 Oct
vs Mansfield Town
2–0
W
22 Sep
@ Chesterfield
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Walsall
0–2
L
12 Sep
vs Exeter City
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Salford City
0–1
L
1 Sep
@ Swindon Town
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Grimsby – last 6
DLLLWW
6 Oct
vs Burton Albion
0–0
D
3 Oct
vs Shrewsbury
1–2
L
26 Sep
@ Newport County
1–2
L
22 Sep
@ Notts County
1–2
L
19 Sep
vs Crawley Town
2–0
W
12 Sep
vs Bristol Rovers
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Port Vale and Grimsby.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Port Vale vs Grimsby?
On our numbers Port Vale have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Grimsby 40%.
How many goals will there be in Port Vale vs Grimsby?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Port Vale vs Grimsby?
Our predicted score is Port Vale 1–1 Grimsby, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Port Vale vs Grimsby?
Port Vale vs Grimsby (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Vale Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
