Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Rotherham to win @ 1.91 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRotherham to win ✗58% · @1.91
Double chanceRotherham or draw ✗83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.81
Rotherham vs Gillingham: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Rotherham welcome Gillingham to New York Stadium for a League Two fixture on Saturday 10 October (15:00 WAT). In the table, Rotherham are 22nd, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 14 matches; Gillingham are 8th (upper half) with 20.
Current form
Rotherham, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Bradford, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Gillingham, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Newport County, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Gillingham, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Rotherham.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rotherham 1.6 xG, Gillingham 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rotherham 58%, draw 25%, Gillingham 17%.
Lower-risk option: Rotherham or draw (83%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Rotherham to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Rotherham or draw (83%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.21, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rotherham 1–0 Gillingham. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rotherham58%fair 1.73 · @1.91
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.30
Gillingham17%fair 5.87 · @3.75
2.39Expected goals
1.63Rotherham xG
0.76Gillingham xG
56%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Rotherham 1.6 – 0.8 Gillingham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rotherham to win✗
58%
1.73
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Rotherham or draw✗
83%
1.21
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.80
Draw no bet
Rotherham (draw no bet)✗
77%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Gillingham +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Rotherham to score first
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rotherham / FT Rotherham✗
36%
2.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.81
–
Recent results
Rotherham – last 6
LLDDWD
6 Oct
vs Bradford
0–4
L
3 Oct
@ Exeter City
0–1
L
26 Sep
vs Crewe
1–1
D
22 Sep
@ York
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Northampton
1–0
W
12 Sep
vs Salford City
3–3
D
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Gillingham – last 6
DLLWWW
3 Oct
vs Newport County
0–0
D
26 Sep
@ York
0–3
L
22 Sep
vs Cambridge United
1–4
L
19 Sep
vs Bristol Rovers
3–0
W
12 Sep
vs Tranmere
2–0
W
5 Sep
@ Rochdale
4–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rotherham and Gillingham.
What is the prediction for Rotherham vs Gillingham?
Our pick is Rotherham or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Rotherham vs Gillingham?
On our numbers Rotherham have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Gillingham 17%.
How many goals will there be in Rotherham vs Gillingham?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rotherham vs Gillingham?
Our predicted score is Rotherham 1–0 Gillingham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Rotherham vs Gillingham?
Rotherham vs Gillingham (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at New York Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
