Value bet: Exeter City to win @ 3.30 – our chance 32% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultShrewsbury to win ✗45% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.23
Shrewsbury vs Exeter City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Exeter City travel to face Shrewsbury on Saturday 10 October in the League Two, with New Meadow the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Shrewsbury are 15th, lower half, on 18 points after 14 matches; Exeter City are 12th (upper half) with 19. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Shrewsbury, last 5: LWDLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Stockport County, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Exeter City, last 5: DWLDD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Oxford United, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shrewsbury 1.1 xG, Exeter City 0.8 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 71%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shrewsbury 45%, draw 23%, Exeter City 32%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Exeter City to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (53%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shrewsbury 1–0 Exeter City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shrewsbury45%fair 2.23 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.20
Exeter City32%fair 3.10 · @3.30
1.89Expected goals
1.06Shrewsbury xG
0.83Exeter City xG
47%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
0–015%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Shrewsbury 1.1 – 0.8 Exeter City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shrewsbury to win✗
45%
2.23
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.85
Draw no bet
Shrewsbury (draw no bet)✗
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Exeter City +1 (Asian handicap)✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.77
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.05
–
First team to score
Shrewsbury to score first✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
23%
4.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.23
–
Recent results
Shrewsbury – last 6
LWDLDW
6 Oct
vs Stockport County
0–2
L
3 Oct
@ Grimsby
2–1
W
26 Sep
vs Colchester
2–2
D
22 Sep
@ Tranmere
0–1
L
19 Sep
@ Crewe
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Northampton
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Exeter City – last 6
DWLDDL
6 Oct
vs Oxford United
2–2
D
3 Oct
vs Rotherham
1–0
W
26 Sep
@ Bristol Rovers
0–1
L
22 Sep
@ Cheltenham
2–2
D
19 Sep
vs Tranmere
0–0
D
12 Sep
@ Port Vale
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shrewsbury and Exeter City.
What is the prediction for Shrewsbury vs Exeter City?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Shrewsbury vs Exeter City?
On our numbers Shrewsbury have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Exeter City 32%.
How many goals will there be in Shrewsbury vs Exeter City?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shrewsbury vs Exeter City?
Our predicted score is Shrewsbury 1–0 Exeter City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Shrewsbury vs Exeter City?
Shrewsbury vs Exeter City (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at New Meadow.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
