York 64%Draw 19%Northampton 17%Expected goals 1.67 – 0.66
64%
Betarazi pick
York to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultYork to win ✗64% · @1.44
Double chanceYork or draw ✓83% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.15
York vs Northampton: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Northampton travel to face York on Saturday 10 October in the League Two, with York`s LNER Community Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, York are 7th, upper half, on 20 points after 14 matches; Northampton are 21st (lower half) with 14.
Current form
York, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Gillingham, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Northampton, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Cambridge United, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give York 1.7 xG, Northampton 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – York 64%, draw 19%, Northampton 17%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was York to win (64%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: York 1–0 Northampton. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
York64%fair 1.56 · @1.44
Draw19%fair 5.24 · @4.20
Northampton17%fair 5.98 · @6.00
2.33Expected goals
1.67York xG
0.66Northampton xG
49%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–014%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: York 1.7 – 0.7 Northampton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
York to win✗
64%
1.56
1.44
Double chance
York or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
1.85
Draw no bet
York (draw no bet)
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
York -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
York to score first✗
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT York / FT York✗
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.15
–
Recent results
York – last 6
WDLLWD
26 Sep
vs Gillingham
3–0
W
22 Sep
vs Rotherham
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Chesterfield
0–2
L
15 Sep
vs Newcastle United U21
1–3
L
12 Sep
vs Swindon Town
4–0
W
5 Sep
@ Crewe
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Northampton – last 6
LLLWDD
6 Oct
@ Cambridge United
1–2
L
19 Sep
vs Rotherham
0–1
L
12 Sep
@ Shrewsbury
0–2
L
5 Sep
vs Newport County
1–0
W
1 Sep
vs Crawley Town
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Gillingham
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between York and Northampton.
Our pick is York to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win York vs Northampton?
On our numbers York have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Northampton 17%.
How many goals will there be in York vs Northampton?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for York vs Northampton?
Our predicted score is York 1–0 Northampton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is York vs Northampton?
York vs Northampton (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at York`s LNER Community Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
