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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

AFC Wimbledon v Newport County: numbers & prediction

League Cup · England · The Cherry Red Records Stadium

AFC Wimbledon

LLWDW
1–1
FTPens 5–4

Newport County

LWLDL
AFC Wimbledon 48%Draw 25%Newport County 27% Expected goals 1.34 – 1.25
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultAFC Wimbledon to win ✗48% · @1.66
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.86

AFC Wimbledon vs Newport County: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Newport County travel to face AFC Wimbledon on Saturday 8 August in the League Cup, with The Cherry Red Records Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT.

Current form

AFC Wimbledon, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to QPR, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Newport County, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to AS Roma, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give AFC Wimbledon 1.3 xG, Newport County 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – AFC Wimbledon 48%, draw 25%, Newport County 27%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: AFC Wimbledon 1–1 Newport County. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

AFC Wimbledon48%fair 2.09 · @1.66
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.85
Newport County27%fair 3.68 · @4.80
2.60Expected goals
1.34AFC Wimbledon xG
1.25Newport County xG
56%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%

From our goals model: AFC Wimbledon 1.3 – 1.3 Newport County expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAFC Wimbledon to win ✗48%2.091.66
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75%1.331.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.771.73
Draw no betAFC Wimbledon (draw no bet)64%1.57–
Asian handicapNewport County +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.331.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.941.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.431.42
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.181.15
First team to scoreAFC Wimbledon to score first48%2.09–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT AFC Wimbledon / FT AFC Wimbledon ✗23%4.43–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.86–

Recent results

AFC Wimbledon – last 6

LLWDWL
1 Augvs QPR2–3L
28 Jul@ Wealdstone0–1L
25 Julvs Charlton2–0W
22 Julvs Norwich0–0D
18 Jul@ Sutton Utd2–1W
15 Aprvs Stockport County0–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Newport County – last 6

LWLDLW
4 Augvs AS Roma1–4L
1 Aug@ Yeovil Town2–1W
28 Julvs Reading0–4L
25 Jul@ Bath City2–2D
11 Jul@ Gloucester City1–2L
8 Jul@ Newport City5–0W
1.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between AFC Wimbledon and Newport County.

AFC Wimbledon vs Newport County head-to-head page →

More League Cup predictions

League hub
FT Cambridge United2 Barnet1 152%1.75X25%3.70224%4.45 1.7–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.30 ✓
FT QPR1 Millwall1 Pens 0–2 138%3.10X24%3.50238%2.18 1.5–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✓
FT Barnsley1 Wigan1 Pens 6–5 140%2.40X25%3.45236%2.74 1.5–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.25 ✓
FT Bristol Rovers0 Peterborough1 140%2.42X24%3.50236%2.68 1.6–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.22 ✗
FT Bromley1 Reading1 Pens 4–5 126%2.18X32%3.45242%3.10 1.0–1.9xG X2Reading or draw 74%@1.65 ✓
FT Burnley1 Notts County1 Pens 4–3 151%1.43X21%4.35227%7.10 1.5–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.22 ✓
FT Burton Albion1 Blackburn2 135%3.05X27%3.30239%2.26 1.2–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✓
FT Cardiff3 Swindon Town2 165%1.32X19%5.20217%8.40 2.2–1.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 63%@1.53 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon vs Newport County?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win AFC Wimbledon vs Newport County?

On our numbers AFC Wimbledon have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Newport County 27%.

How many goals will there be in AFC Wimbledon vs Newport County?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for AFC Wimbledon vs Newport County?

Our predicted score is AFC Wimbledon 1–1 Newport County, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is AFC Wimbledon vs Newport County?

AFC Wimbledon vs Newport County (League Cup) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at The Cherry Red Records Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.