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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cardiff v Swindon Town: numbers & prediction

League Cup · England · Cardiff City Stadium

Cardiff

WWWLW
3–2
FT

Swindon Town

WWLLW
Cardiff 65%Draw 19%Swindon Town 17% Expected goals 2.21 – 1.14
63%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.53Odds

Picks by market

ResultCardiff to win ✓65% · @1.32
Double chanceCardiff or draw ✓83% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.24

Cardiff vs Swindon Town: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Cardiff welcome Swindon Town to Cardiff City Stadium for a League Cup fixture on Saturday 8 August (15:00 WAT).

Current form

Cardiff, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over AS Roma, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Swindon Town, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Forest Green, away. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cardiff 2.2 xG, Swindon Town 1.1 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cardiff 65%, draw 19%, Swindon Town 17%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (63%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cardiff 2–1 Swindon Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cardiff65%fair 1.55 · @1.32
Draw19%fair 5.34 · @5.20
Swindon Town17%fair 6.02 · @8.40
3.36Expected goals
2.21Cardiff xG
1.14Swindon Town xG
55%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%

From our goals model: Cardiff 2.2 – 1.1 Swindon Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCardiff to win ✓65%1.551.32
Double chanceCardiff or draw ✓83%1.201.07
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.831.83
Draw no betCardiff (draw no bet) ✓80%1.26–
Asian handicapCardiff -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.211.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓63%1.581.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗58%1.711.57
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗76%1.311.22
First team to scoreCardiff to score first64%1.57–
Half-time resultCardiff ahead at half-time ✓46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cardiff / FT Cardiff ✓40%2.51–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.24–

Recent results

Cardiff – last 6

WWWLWD
1 Augvs AS Roma4–1W
25 Jul@ Forest Green5–1W
14 Jul@ Cork City6–1W
11 Julvs FC Midtjylland0–6L
22 Aprvs Port Vale1–0W
14 Apr@ Huddersfield1–1D
2.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Swindon Town – last 6

WWLLWW
1 Aug@ Forest Green4–1W
28 Julvs Leyton Orient2–1W
25 Julvs Bristol City1–3L
18 Jul@ Crystal Palace1–5L
14 Julvs Chippenham Town1–0W
4 Julvs Swindon Supermarine4–0W
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Cardiff and Swindon Town.

Cardiff vs Swindon Town head-to-head page →

More League Cup predictions

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FT Cambridge United2 Barnet1 152%1.75X25%3.70224%4.45 1.7–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.30 ✓
FT QPR1 Millwall1 Pens 0–2 138%3.10X24%3.50238%2.18 1.5–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✓
FT AFC Wimbledon1 Newport County1 Pens 5–4 148%1.66X25%3.85227%4.80 1.3–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.22 ✓
FT Barnsley1 Wigan1 Pens 6–5 140%2.40X25%3.45236%2.74 1.5–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.25 ✓
FT Bristol Rovers0 Peterborough1 140%2.42X24%3.50236%2.68 1.6–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.22 ✗
FT Bromley1 Reading1 Pens 4–5 126%2.18X32%3.45242%3.10 1.0–1.9xG X2Reading or draw 74%@1.65 ✓
FT Burnley1 Notts County1 Pens 4–3 151%1.43X21%4.35227%7.10 1.5–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.22 ✓
FT Burton Albion1 Blackburn2 135%3.05X27%3.30239%2.26 1.2–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cardiff vs Swindon Town?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Cardiff vs Swindon Town?

On our numbers Cardiff have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Swindon Town 17%.

How many goals will there be in Cardiff vs Swindon Town?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cardiff vs Swindon Town?

Our predicted score is Cardiff 2–1 Swindon Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Cardiff vs Swindon Town?

Cardiff vs Swindon Town (League Cup) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Cardiff City Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.