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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

QPR v Millwall: numbers & prediction

League Cup · England · Loftus Road Stadium

QPR

WWWWW
1–1
FTPens 0–2

Millwall

WDLLW
QPR 38%Draw 24%Millwall 38% Expected goals 1.51 – 1.25
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
1

Value bet: QPR to win @ 3.10 – our chance 38% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultQPR to win ✗38% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.07

QPR vs Millwall: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Millwall travel to face QPR on Saturday 8 August in the League Cup, with Loftus Road Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT.

Current form

QPR, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over AFC Wimbledon, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Millwall, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Antwerp, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 5. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours QPR, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.2 for Millwall.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give QPR 1.5 xG, Millwall 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – QPR 38%, draw 24%, Millwall 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.75.
  • Price worth noting: QPR to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: QPR 1–1 Millwall. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

QPR38%fair 2.62 · @3.10
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.50
Millwall38%fair 2.66 · @2.18
2.76Expected goals
1.51QPR xG
1.25Millwall xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–27%
2–07%

From our goals model: QPR 1.5 – 1.2 Millwall expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultQPR to win ✗38%2.623.10 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76%1.321.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.691.75
Draw no betQPR (draw no bet)50%1.98–
Asian handicapMillwall +1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.341.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.981.93
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.411.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.171.10
First team to scoreQPR to score first51%1.95–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.41–
Half-time / full-timeHT QPR / FT QPR ✗26%3.88–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.07–

Recent results

QPR – last 6

WWWWWD
1 Aug@ AFC Wimbledon3–2W
31 Jul@ Bromley7–0W
25 Julvs Fiorentina3–2W
21 Julvs Wycombe1–0W
16 Jul@ SC Wiener Neustadt3–1W
11 Jul@ First Vienna0–0D
2.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Millwall – last 6

WDLLWL
1 Augvs Antwerp1–0W
28 Jul@ Bromley1–1D
25 Jul@ Stevenage0–1L
21 Jul@ Gillingham0–1L
17 Jul@ Eldense2–1W
14 Jul@ FC Andorra1–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between QPR and Millwall.

QPR vs Millwall head-to-head page →

More League Cup predictions

League hub
FT Cambridge United2 Barnet1 152%1.75X25%3.70224%4.45 1.7–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.30 ✓
FT AFC Wimbledon1 Newport County1 Pens 5–4 148%1.66X25%3.85227%4.80 1.3–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.22 ✓
FT Barnsley1 Wigan1 Pens 6–5 140%2.40X25%3.45236%2.74 1.5–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.25 ✓
FT Bristol Rovers0 Peterborough1 140%2.42X24%3.50236%2.68 1.6–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.22 ✗
FT Bromley1 Reading1 Pens 4–5 126%2.18X32%3.45242%3.10 1.0–1.9xG X2Reading or draw 74%@1.65 ✓
FT Burnley1 Notts County1 Pens 4–3 151%1.43X21%4.35227%7.10 1.5–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.22 ✓
FT Burton Albion1 Blackburn2 135%3.05X27%3.30239%2.26 1.2–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✓
FT Cardiff3 Swindon Town2 165%1.32X19%5.20217%8.40 2.2–1.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 63%@1.53 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for QPR vs Millwall?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win QPR vs Millwall?

On our numbers QPR have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Millwall 38%.

How many goals will there be in QPR vs Millwall?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for QPR vs Millwall?

Our predicted score is QPR 1–1 Millwall, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is QPR vs Millwall?

QPR vs Millwall (League Cup) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Loftus Road Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.