Wednesday 11 November 2026 16 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Burton Albion v Blackburn: numbers & prediction

League Cup · England · Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion

WDLLD
1–2
FT

Blackburn

DWLWD
Burton Albion 35%Draw 27%Blackburn 39% Expected goals 1.21 – 1.22
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultBlackburn to win ✓39% · @2.26
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 12.61

Burton Albion vs Blackburn: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Burton Albion welcome Blackburn to Pirelli Stadium for a League Cup fixture on Saturday 8 August (15:00 WAT).

Current form

Burton Albion, last 5: WDLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Derby, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Blackburn, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Huddersfield, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Burton Albion 1.2 xG, Blackburn 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Burton Albion 35%, draw 27%, Blackburn 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.77.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Burton Albion 1–1 Blackburn. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Burton Albion35%fair 2.89 · @3.05
Draw27%fair 3.73 · @3.30
Blackburn39%fair 2.59 · @2.26
2.43Expected goals
1.21Burton Albion xG
1.22Blackburn xG
59%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%

From our goals model: Burton Albion 1.2 – 1.2 Blackburn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBlackburn to win ✓39%2.592.26
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.371.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.711.77
Draw no betBlackburn (draw no bet) ✓53%1.90–
Asian handicapBurton Albion +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.421.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.841.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.331.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.131.09
First team to scoreBlackburn to score first ✗46%2.19–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Blackburn / FT Blackburn ✗21%4.81–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8%12.61–

Recent results

Burton Albion – last 6

WDLLDD
1 Augvs Derby1–0W
28 Jul@ Solihull Moors1–1D
22 Julvs Birmingham0–1L
18 Julvs Leicester0–3L
11 Jul@ Alfreton Town0–0D
19 Apr@ Peterborough1–1D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Blackburn – last 6

DWLWDL
1 Aug@ Huddersfield1–1D
25 Jul@ Strasbourg2–0W
22 Jul@ Nottingham Forest0–3L
18 Jul@ Longridge Town4–0W
11 Jul@ Accrington ST0–0D
2 Mayvs Leicester0–1L
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Burton Albion and Blackburn.

Burton Albion vs Blackburn head-to-head page →

More League Cup predictions

League hub
FT Cambridge United2 Barnet1 152%1.75X25%3.70224%4.45 1.7–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.30 ✓
FT QPR1 Millwall1 Pens 0–2 138%3.10X24%3.50238%2.18 1.5–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✓
FT AFC Wimbledon1 Newport County1 Pens 5–4 148%1.66X25%3.85227%4.80 1.3–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.22 ✓
FT Barnsley1 Wigan1 Pens 6–5 140%2.40X25%3.45236%2.74 1.5–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.25 ✓
FT Bristol Rovers0 Peterborough1 140%2.42X24%3.50236%2.68 1.6–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.22 ✗
FT Bromley1 Reading1 Pens 4–5 126%2.18X32%3.45242%3.10 1.0–1.9xG X2Reading or draw 74%@1.65 ✓
FT Burnley1 Notts County1 Pens 4–3 151%1.43X21%4.35227%7.10 1.5–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.22 ✓
FT Cardiff3 Swindon Town2 165%1.32X19%5.20217%8.40 2.2–1.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 63%@1.53 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Burton Albion vs Blackburn?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Burton Albion vs Blackburn?

On our numbers Burton Albion have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Blackburn 39%.

How many goals will there be in Burton Albion vs Blackburn?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Burton Albion vs Blackburn?

Our predicted score is Burton Albion 1–1 Blackburn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Burton Albion vs Blackburn?

Burton Albion vs Blackburn (League Cup) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Pirelli Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.