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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Crewe v Accrington ST: numbers & prediction

League Cup · England · Alexandra Stadium

Crewe

DLWDW
2–1
FT

Accrington ST

DWWWD
Crewe 48%Draw 26%Accrington ST 26% Expected goals 1.47 – 1.16
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultCrewe to win ✓48% · @1.83
Double chanceCrewe or draw ✓74% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.07

Crewe vs Accrington ST: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Saturday 8 August: Crewe v Accrington ST in the League Cup, played at Alexandra Stadium.

Current form

Crewe, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Chester, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Accrington ST, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Sheffield Wednesday, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (3 Apr 2026) it ended Accrington ST 2–0 Crewe.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Crewe 1.5 xG, Accrington ST 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Crewe 48%, draw 26%, Accrington ST 26%.
  • Lower-risk option: Crewe or draw (74%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Crewe 1–1 Accrington ST. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Crewe48%fair 2.08 · @1.83
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.70
Accrington ST26%fair 3.87 · @3.95
2.62Expected goals
1.47Crewe xG
1.16Accrington ST xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
0–07%

From our goals model: Crewe 1.5 – 1.2 Accrington ST expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCrewe to win ✓48%2.081.83
Double chanceCrewe or draw ✓74%1.351.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.711.73
Draw no betCrewe (draw no bet) ✓65%1.54–
Asian handicapAccrington ST +1 (Asian handicap)72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.341.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓50%1.991.83
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.401.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.171.12
First team to scoreCrewe to score first ✓52%1.93–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Crewe / FT Crewe ✓26%3.82–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%11.07–

Recent results

Crewe – last 6

DLWDWW
1 Aug@ Chester0–0D
25 Julvs Birmingham1–2L
21 Jul@ AFC Telford United3–0W
18 Julvs Stoke City1–1D
11 Jul@ Witton Albion3–2W
6 Aprvs Salford City1–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Accrington ST – last 6

DWWWDL
1 Augvs Sheffield Wednesday0–0D
28 Julvs Bury1–0W
25 Jul@ Chorley3–0W
17 Julvs Bradford1–0W
11 Julvs Blackburn0–0D
14 Apr@ Colchester1–2L
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Apr 2026Accrington ST v Crewe2–0
Crewe vs Accrington ST head-to-head page →

More League Cup predictions

League hub
FT Cambridge United2 Barnet1 152%1.75X25%3.70224%4.45 1.7–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.30 ✓
FT QPR1 Millwall1 Pens 0–2 138%3.10X24%3.50238%2.18 1.5–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✓
FT AFC Wimbledon1 Newport County1 Pens 5–4 148%1.66X25%3.85227%4.80 1.3–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.22 ✓
FT Barnsley1 Wigan1 Pens 6–5 140%2.40X25%3.45236%2.74 1.5–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.25 ✓
FT Bristol Rovers0 Peterborough1 140%2.42X24%3.50236%2.68 1.6–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.22 ✗
FT Bromley1 Reading1 Pens 4–5 126%2.18X32%3.45242%3.10 1.0–1.9xG X2Reading or draw 74%@1.65 ✓
FT Burnley1 Notts County1 Pens 4–3 151%1.43X21%4.35227%7.10 1.5–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.22 ✓
FT Burton Albion1 Blackburn2 135%3.05X27%3.30239%2.26 1.2–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Crewe vs Accrington ST?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Crewe vs Accrington ST?

On our numbers Crewe have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Accrington ST 26%.

How many goals will there be in Crewe vs Accrington ST?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Crewe vs Accrington ST?

Our predicted score is Crewe 1–1 Accrington ST, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Crewe vs Accrington ST?

Crewe vs Accrington ST (League Cup) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Alexandra Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.