Almeria 64%Draw 22%Celta de Vigo II 13%Expected goals 1.94 – 0.76
64%
Betarazi pick
Almeria to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
Picks by market
ResultAlmeria to win ✓64% · @1.36
Double chanceAlmeria or draw ✓87% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.39
Almeria vs Celta de Vigo II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Almeria welcome Celta de Vigo II to UD Almería Stadium for a Segunda División fixture on Sunday 20 September (17:30 WAT). In the table, Almeria are 1st, leading the league, on 29 points after 13 matches; Celta de Vigo II are 16th (lower half) with 13. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Almeria, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Cordoba, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Celta de Vigo II, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Eibar, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Almeria 1.9 xG, Celta de Vigo II 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Almeria 64%, draw 22%, Celta de Vigo II 13%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Almeria to win (64%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Almeria 1–0 Celta de Vigo II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Almeria64%fair 1.55 · @1.36
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @4.50
Celta de Vigo II13%fair 7.47 · @6.50
2.70Expected goals
1.94Almeria xG
0.76Celta de Vigo II xG
51%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Almeria 1.9 – 0.8 Celta de Vigo II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Almeria to win✓
64%
1.55
1.36
Double chance
Almeria or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
1.85
Draw no bet
Almeria (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Almeria -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Almeria to score first✓
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Almeria ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Almeria / FT Almeria✓
42%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.39
–
Recent results
Almeria – last 6
WWLLWW
12 Sep
@ Cordoba
2–0
W
6 Sep
vs Cadiz
3–2
W
29 Aug
@ Sabadell
0–1
L
23 Aug
@ Tenerife
0–1
L
17 Aug
vs Eldense
3–0
W
7 Aug
@ Cordoba
4–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Celta de Vigo II – last 6
LWLWDW
14 Sep
vs Eibar
0–4
L
5 Sep
@ AD Ceuta FC
2–0
W
31 Aug
vs Castellón
1–2
L
24 Aug
vs FC Andorra
4–2
W
15 Aug
@ Cadiz
0–0
D
1 Aug
@ Vizela
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Almeria and Celta de Vigo II.
What is the prediction for Almeria vs Celta de Vigo II?
Our pick is Almeria to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Almeria vs Celta de Vigo II?
On our numbers Almeria have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Celta de Vigo II 13%.
How many goals will there be in Almeria vs Celta de Vigo II?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Almeria vs Celta de Vigo II?
Our predicted score is Almeria 1–0 Celta de Vigo II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Almeria vs Celta de Vigo II?
Almeria vs Celta de Vigo II (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at UD Almería Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
