AD Ceuta FC vs Valladolid: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
AD Ceuta FC welcome Valladolid to Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube for a Segunda División fixture on Sunday 20 September (15:15 WAT). In the table, AD Ceuta FC are 22nd, in the drop zone, on 5 points after 13 matches; Valladolid are 12th (lower half) with 18. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
AD Ceuta FC, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Burgos, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Valladolid, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Oviedo, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Valladolid, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for AD Ceuta FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AD Ceuta FC 1.2 xG, Valladolid 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AD Ceuta FC 35%, draw 23%, Valladolid 42%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: AD Ceuta FC 1–1 Valladolid. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AD Ceuta FC35%fair 2.83 · @2.62
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.10
Valladolid42%fair 2.40 · @2.50
2.60Expected goals
1.23AD Ceuta FC xG
1.37Valladolid xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: AD Ceuta FC 1.2 – 1.4 Valladolid expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Valladolid to win✗
42%
2.40
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.73
Draw no bet
Valladolid (draw no bet)
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
AD Ceuta FC +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Valladolid to score first
49%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Valladolid / FT Valladolid✗
23%
4.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.69
–
Recent results
AD Ceuta FC – last 6
LLLLLW
11 Sep
@ Burgos
1–3
L
5 Sep
vs Celta de Vigo II
0–2
L
30 Aug
@ Mallorca
0–3
L
22 Aug
vs Las Palmas
0–2
L
15 Aug
@ FC Andorra
1–5
L
7 Aug
vs Malaga
2–1
W
0.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Valladolid – last 6
LWDLLW
13 Sep
vs Oviedo
0–3
L
5 Sep
vs FC Andorra
1–0
W
30 Aug
@ Cadiz
1–1
D
23 Aug
@ Eibar
0–1
L
15 Aug
@ Mallorca
0–2
L
8 Aug
@ Sporting Gijon
4–2
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AD Ceuta FC and Valladolid.
What is the prediction for AD Ceuta FC vs Valladolid?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win AD Ceuta FC vs Valladolid?
On our numbers AD Ceuta FC have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Valladolid 42%.
How many goals will there be in AD Ceuta FC vs Valladolid?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AD Ceuta FC vs Valladolid?
Our predicted score is AD Ceuta FC 1–1 Valladolid, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is AD Ceuta FC vs Valladolid?
AD Ceuta FC vs Valladolid (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 15:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
