Value bet: Granada CF to win @ 3.70 – our chance 30% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLeganes to win ✓47% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗6% · fair 15.61
Leganes vs Granada CF: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 20 September the Segunda División brings Leganes against Granada CF at Municipal de Butarque. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Leganes are 18th, lower half, on 12 points after 13 matches; Granada CF are 5th (upper half) with 23.
Current form
Leganes, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Tenerife, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Granada CF, last 5: DLWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Albacete, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Leganes 1.0 xG, Granada CF 0.7 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 76%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Leganes 47%, draw 23%, Granada CF 30%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Granada CF to win @3.70 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 30%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 2.05 – longer than our fair 1.97, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leganes 1–1 Granada CF. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Leganes47%fair 2.14 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.00
Granada CF30%fair 3.36 · @3.70
1.70Expected goals
1.00Leganes xG
0.70Granada CF xG
51%Both score
24%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
0–018%
1–113%
0–113%
2–09%
2–16%
From our goals model: Leganes 1.0 – 0.7 Granada CF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leganes to win✓
47%
2.14
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
2.05
Draw no bet
Leganes (draw no bet)✓
61%
1.64
–
Asian handicap
Granada CF +1 (Asian handicap)
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
97%
1.03
–
First team to score
Leganes to score first
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
54%
1.85
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
26%
3.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
6%
15.61
–
Recent results
Leganes – last 6
LDWWDD
13 Sep
@ Tenerife
0–2
L
4 Sep
@ Las Palmas
0–0
D
29 Aug
vs Eldense
1–0
W
22 Aug
@ Oviedo
1–0
W
16 Aug
@ Girona
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Tenerife
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Granada CF – last 6
DLWWDW
12 Sep
vs Albacete
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Eibar
0–3
L
30 Aug
@ Cordoba
3–1
W
24 Aug
vs Mallorca
2–0
W
15 Aug
@ Oviedo
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ Antequera
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leganes and Granada CF.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Leganes vs Granada CF?
On our numbers Leganes have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Granada CF 30%.
How many goals will there be in Leganes vs Granada CF?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 24% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leganes vs Granada CF?
Our predicted score is Leganes 1–1 Granada CF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Leganes vs Granada CF?
Leganes vs Granada CF (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Municipal de Butarque.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
