Value bet: Oviedo to win @ 3.25 – our chance 38% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultOviedo to win ✗38% · @3.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗63% · fair 1.60
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.59
Sabadell vs Oviedo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 20 September the Segunda División brings Sabadell against Oviedo at Nova Creu Alta. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, Sabadell are 13th, lower half, on 18 points after 13 matches; Oviedo are 9th (upper half) with 21. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Sabadell, last 5: LWWDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Mallorca, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Oviedo, last 5: WDWLD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Valladolid, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sabadell 0.6 xG, Oviedo 0.7 xG – a total near 1.3. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 86% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sabadell 37%, draw 25%, Oviedo 38%.
GG/NG: NG (58%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Oviedo to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (58%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sabadell 0–0 Oviedo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sabadell37%fair 2.70 · @2.30
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @2.80
Oviedo38%fair 2.64 · @3.25
1.30Expected goals
0.64Sabadell xG
0.66Oviedo xG
42%Both score
14%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–027%
0–118%
1–018%
1–112%
0–26%
2–06%
From our goals model: Sabadell 0.6 – 0.7 Oviedo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Oviedo to win✗
38%
2.64
3.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.62
Draw no bet
Oviedo (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Sabadell +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
96%
1.05
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
99%
1.01
–
First team to score
Oviedo to score first✗
37%
2.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
61%
1.64
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
34%
2.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
18%
5.59
–
Recent results
Sabadell – last 6
LWWDDW
13 Sep
@ Mallorca
0–2
L
7 Sep
vs Cordoba
3–2
W
29 Aug
vs Almeria
1–0
W
23 Aug
@ Castellón
0–0
D
17 Aug
@ Sporting Gijon
0–0
D
9 Aug
@ Olot
3–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Oviedo – last 6
WDWLDW
13 Sep
@ Valladolid
3–0
W
6 Sep
vs Burgos
0–0
D
29 Aug
@ Albacete
1–0
W
22 Aug
vs Leganes
0–1
L
15 Aug
vs Granada CF
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs Le Havre
3–2
W
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sabadell and Oviedo.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Sabadell vs Oviedo?
On our numbers Sabadell have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Oviedo 38%.
How many goals will there be in Sabadell vs Oviedo?
We expect about 1.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 14% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sabadell vs Oviedo?
Our predicted score is Sabadell 0–0 Oviedo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.3 goals in total.
When is Sabadell vs Oviedo?
Sabadell vs Oviedo (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Nova Creu Alta.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
