Value bet: Deportivo Alavés II to win @ 2.80 – our chance 41% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultDeportivo Alavés II to win ✓41% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.63
Arosa vs Deportivo Alavés II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Arosa welcome Deportivo Alavés II for a Segunda División RFEF Group 1 fixture on Sunday 27 September (16:00 WAT). In the table, Arosa are 15th, lower half, on 8 points after 10 matches; Deportivo Alavés II are 3rd (among the top four) with 20. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Arosa, last 5: DLDWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Basconia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Deportivo Alavés II, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Real Oviedo II, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arosa 1.5 xG, Deportivo Alavés II 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 51% for three or more goals, 51% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arosa 38%, draw 22%, Deportivo Alavés II 41%.
Price worth noting: Deportivo Alavés II to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (51%, odds 2.10 – longer than our fair 1.96, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arosa 1–2 Deportivo Alavés II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arosa38%fair 2.66 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.30
Deportivo Alavés II41%fair 2.45 · @2.80
2.98Expected goals
1.45Arosa xG
1.53Deportivo Alavés II xG
51%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Arosa 1.5 – 1.5 Deportivo Alavés II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Alavés II to win✓
41%
2.45
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
–
Draw no bet
Deportivo Alavés II (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
Arosa +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
2.10 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
–
First team to score
Deportivo Alavés II to score first
49%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Alavés II / FT Deportivo Alavés II✓
23%
4.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.63
–
Recent results
Arosa – last 6
DLDWWD
19 Sep
@ Basconia
2–2
D
13 Sep
vs Gernika
0–4
L
6 Sep
@ Amorebieta
2–2
D
1 Aug
vs Pontevedra
3–1
W
26 Apr
vs Boiro
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Estradense
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Deportivo Alavés II – last 6
WWLLDW
20 Sep
vs Real Oviedo II
3–1
W
13 Sep
@ Llanera
2–1
W
5 Sep
vs Coruxo
0–2
L
17 May
vs Real Jaén
0–1
L
3 May
@ Gernika
0–0
D
26 Apr
@ Tudelano
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arosa and Deportivo Alavés II.
What is the prediction for Arosa vs Deportivo Alavés II?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.
Who will win Arosa vs Deportivo Alavés II?
On our numbers Arosa have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Deportivo Alavés II 41%.
How many goals will there be in Arosa vs Deportivo Alavés II?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arosa vs Deportivo Alavés II?
Our predicted score is Arosa 1–2 Deportivo Alavés II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Arosa vs Deportivo Alavés II?
Arosa vs Deportivo Alavés II (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
