Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.95Odds
2
Value bet: Gernika to win @ 3.50 – our chance 36% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCoruxo to win ✗39% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.69
Coruxo vs Gernika: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Sunday 27 September: Coruxo v Gernika in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1. In the table, Coruxo are 14th, lower half, on 9 points after 10 matches; Gernika are 11th (lower half) with 12. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Coruxo, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Portugalete, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Gernika, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Llanera, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Coruxo 1.6 xG, Gernika 1.5 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Coruxo 39%, draw 24%, Gernika 36%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Gernika to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.70, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Coruxo 1–1 Gernika. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Coruxo39%fair 2.54 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @2.90
Gernika36%fair 2.76 · @3.50
3.17Expected goals
1.62Coruxo xG
1.55Gernika xG
59%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–17%
From our goals model: Coruxo 1.6 – 1.5 Gernika expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Coruxo to win✗
39%
2.54
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Coruxo (draw no bet)
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
Gernika +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
First team to score
Coruxo to score first✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.60
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Coruxo / FT Coruxo✗
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.69
–
Recent results
Coruxo – last 6
LDWWLD
19 Sep
@ Portugalete
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs Racing Santander II
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Deportivo Alavés II
2–0
W
19 Aug
vs Pontevedra
3–1
W
15 Aug
@ Lugo
1–2
L
17 May
@ Atlético Baleares
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Gernika – last 6
WWDDDL
20 Sep
vs Llanera
4–0
W
13 Sep
@ Arosa
4–0
W
6 Sep
vs Bergantiños
2–2
D
3 May
vs Deportivo Alavés II
0–0
D
26 Apr
@ Basconia
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs UD Logroñés
1–3
L
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Coruxo and Gernika.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Coruxo vs Gernika?
On our numbers Coruxo have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Gernika 36%.
How many goals will there be in Coruxo vs Gernika?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Coruxo vs Gernika?
Our predicted score is Coruxo 1–1 Gernika, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Coruxo vs Gernika?
Coruxo vs Gernika (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
