Marino de Luanco 34%Draw 24%Basconia 42%Expected goals 1.58 – 1.75
60%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Picks by market
ResultBasconia to win ✓42% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.53
Marino de Luanco vs Basconia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 27 September the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 brings Marino de Luanco against Basconia. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Marino de Luanco are 16th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 10 matches; Basconia are 9th (upper half) with 14.
Current form
Marino de Luanco, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Atlético Astorga, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Basconia, last 5: DWLDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Arosa, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Marino de Luanco 1.6 xG, Basconia 1.8 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Marino de Luanco 34%, draw 24%, Basconia 42%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.66, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Marino de Luanco 1–1 Basconia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Marino de Luanco34%fair 2.93 · @2.80
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @2.90
Basconia42%fair 2.41 · @2.40
3.33Expected goals
1.58Marino de Luanco xG
1.75Basconia xG
60%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Marino de Luanco 1.6 – 1.8 Basconia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Basconia to win✓
42%
2.41
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.75 ▲
Draw no bet
Basconia (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
Marino de Luanco +1 (Asian handicap)
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
First team to score
Basconia to score first
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.69
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Basconia / FT Basconia✓
26%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
11.53
–
Recent results
Marino de Luanco – last 6
LLWLLW
19 Sep
@ Atlético Astorga
0–3
L
13 Sep
vs Ourense CF
0–2
L
6 Sep
@ Compostela
3–0
W
8 Aug
vs Ponferradina
0–3
L
1 Aug
@ Sporting Gijón II
0–1
L
29 Jul
vs Real Avilés
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Basconia – last 6
DWLDLW
19 Sep
vs Arosa
2–2
D
13 Sep
vs Atlético Astorga
3–2
W
6 Sep
@ Ourense CF
1–2
L
15 Aug
@ Racing Santander II
3–3
D
8 Aug
@ Gimnástica Torrelavega
1–2
L
3 May
vs Ejea
5–1
W
2.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Marino de Luanco and Basconia.
What is the prediction for Marino de Luanco vs Basconia?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Marino de Luanco vs Basconia?
On our numbers Marino de Luanco have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Basconia 42%.
How many goals will there be in Marino de Luanco vs Basconia?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Marino de Luanco vs Basconia?
Our predicted score is Marino de Luanco 1–1 Basconia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Marino de Luanco vs Basconia?
Marino de Luanco vs Basconia (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
