Real Oviedo II 60%Draw 22%Gimnástica Torrelavega 18%Expected goals 1.80 – 0.87
82%
Betarazi pick
Real Oviedo II or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Real Oviedo II to win @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultReal Oviedo II to win ✗60% · @1.80
Double chanceReal Oviedo II or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.25
Real Oviedo II vs Gimnástica Torrelavega: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Real Oviedo II welcome Gimnástica Torrelavega for a Segunda División RFEF Group 1 fixture on Sunday 27 September (11:00 WAT). In the table, Real Oviedo II are 8th, upper half, on 15 points after 10 matches; Gimnástica Torrelavega are 18th (in the drop zone) with 6.
Current form
Real Oviedo II, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Deportivo Alavés II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Gimnástica Torrelavega, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Bergantiños, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Gimnástica Torrelavega, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Real Oviedo II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Oviedo II 1.8 xG, Gimnástica Torrelavega 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Oviedo II 60%, draw 22%, Gimnástica Torrelavega 18%.
Lower-risk option: Real Oviedo II or draw (82%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Real Oviedo II to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Real Oviedo II or draw (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Oviedo II 1–0 Gimnástica Torrelavega. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Oviedo II60%fair 1.67 · @1.80
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.10
Gimnástica Torrelavega18%fair 5.60 · @4.20
2.67Expected goals
1.80Real Oviedo II xG
0.87Gimnástica Torrelavega xG
50%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Real Oviedo II 1.8 – 0.9 Gimnástica Torrelavega expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Oviedo II to win✗
60%
1.67
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Real Oviedo II or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
1.85
Draw no bet
Real Oviedo II (draw no bet)
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Gimnástica Torrelavega +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Real Oviedo II to score first
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Real Oviedo II ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Oviedo II / FT Real Oviedo II✗
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.25
–
Recent results
Real Oviedo II – last 6
LLWLLW
20 Sep
@ Deportivo Alavés II
1–3
L
13 Sep
@ Sestao River
0–2
L
5 Sep
vs Eibar II
2–1
W
31 May
vs CD Coria
0–1
L
24 May
@ CD Coria
0–3
L
3 May
vs Langreo
3–2
W
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Gimnástica Torrelavega – last 6
LLWWDW
20 Sep
vs Bergantiños
0–3
L
12 Sep
@ Eibar II
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Llanera
2–1
W
14 Aug
@ Bezana
1–0
W
11 Aug
vs Sestao River
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Basconia
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Oviedo II and Gimnástica Torrelavega.
What is the prediction for Real Oviedo II vs Gimnástica Torrelavega?
Our pick is Real Oviedo II or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Real Oviedo II vs Gimnástica Torrelavega?
On our numbers Real Oviedo II have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Gimnástica Torrelavega 18%.
How many goals will there be in Real Oviedo II vs Gimnástica Torrelavega?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Oviedo II vs Gimnástica Torrelavega?
Our predicted score is Real Oviedo II 1–0 Gimnástica Torrelavega, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Real Oviedo II vs Gimnástica Torrelavega?
Real Oviedo II vs Gimnástica Torrelavega (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
