Bergantiños vs Portugalete: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Portugalete travel to face Bergantiños on Sunday 27 September in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Bergantiños are 4th, among the top four, on 18 points after 10 matches; Portugalete are 6th (upper half) with 16. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Bergantiños, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Gimnástica Torrelavega, away. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Portugalete, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Coruxo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Portugalete, collecting 2.7 points per game to 2.2 for Bergantiños.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bergantiños 1.1 xG, Portugalete 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bergantiños 41%, draw 24%, Portugalete 34%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 1.91). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bergantiños 1–1 Portugalete. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bergantiños41%fair 2.41 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @2.90
Portugalete34%fair 2.92 · @3.00
2.00Expected goals
1.07Bergantiños xG
0.93Portugalete xG
52%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
0–014%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Bergantiños 1.1 – 0.9 Portugalete expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bergantiños to win✓
41%
2.41
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.91
Draw no bet
Bergantiños (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Portugalete +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Bergantiños to score first
46%
2.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
13.89
–
Recent results
Bergantiños – last 6
WLWWDW
20 Sep
@ Gimnástica Torrelavega
3–0
W
16 Sep
@ UD Santa Marta
0–1
L
13 Sep
vs Amorebieta
1–0
W
9 Sep
vs Leioa
5–0
W
6 Sep
@ Gernika
2–2
D
3 May
@ Sámano
5–0
W
2.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Portugalete – last 6
WDWWWW
19 Sep
vs Coruxo
2–1
W
13 Sep
vs Compostela
0–0
D
5 Sep
@ Atlético Astorga
1–0
W
14 Aug
vs Barakaldo
2–0
W
17 Apr
vs Eibar III
4–2
W
1 Apr
vs Durango
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bergantiños and Portugalete.
What is the prediction for Bergantiños vs Portugalete?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Bergantiños vs Portugalete?
On our numbers Bergantiños have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Portugalete 34%.
How many goals will there be in Bergantiños vs Portugalete?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bergantiños vs Portugalete?
Our predicted score is Bergantiños 1–1 Portugalete, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Bergantiños vs Portugalete?
Bergantiños vs Portugalete (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
