Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.28
Amorebieta vs Portugalete: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Saturday 10 October: Amorebieta v Portugalete in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1, played at Campo Municipal de Urritxe. In the table, Amorebieta are 7th, upper half, on 16 points after 10 matches; Portugalete are 6th (upper half) with 16. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Amorebieta, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Atlético Astorga, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Portugalete, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Deportivo Alavés II, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Portugalete, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Amorebieta.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Amorebieta 1.2 xG, Portugalete 0.8 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Amorebieta 48%, draw 23%, Portugalete 29%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (53%, odds 1.83). Most likely score in line with that pick: Amorebieta 1–0 Portugalete. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Amorebieta48%fair 2.10 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.00
Portugalete29%fair 3.43 · @3.30
2.00Expected goals
1.18Amorebieta xG
0.82Portugalete xG
47%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
0–014%
1–113%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Amorebieta 1.2 – 0.8 Portugalete expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Amorebieta to win✗
48%
2.10
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.83
Draw no bet
Amorebieta (draw no bet)✗
62%
1.61
–
Asian handicap
Portugalete +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Amorebieta to score first✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Amorebieta / FT Amorebieta✗
25%
3.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.28
–
Recent results
Amorebieta – last 6
WLWLDL
3 Oct
@ Atlético Astorga
1–0
W
26 Sep
vs Ourense CF
0–1
L
20 Sep
@ Racing Santander II
2–0
W
13 Sep
@ Bergantiños
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Arosa
2–2
D
8 Aug
vs Athletic Club II
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Portugalete – last 6
LLWDWW
3 Oct
vs Deportivo Alavés II
0–2
L
27 Sep
@ Bergantiños
2–3
L
19 Sep
vs Coruxo
2–1
W
13 Sep
vs Compostela
0–0
D
5 Sep
@ Atlético Astorga
1–0
W
14 Aug
vs Barakaldo
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Amorebieta and Portugalete.
What is the prediction for Amorebieta vs Portugalete?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Amorebieta vs Portugalete?
On our numbers Amorebieta have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Portugalete 29%.
How many goals will there be in Amorebieta vs Portugalete?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Amorebieta vs Portugalete?
Our predicted score is Amorebieta 1–0 Portugalete, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Amorebieta vs Portugalete?
Amorebieta vs Portugalete (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Municipal de Urritxe.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
