Sestao River 63%Draw 25%Gimnástica Torrelavega 12%Expected goals 1.88 – 0.72
63%
Betarazi pick
Sestao River to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
Picks by market
ResultSestao River to win ✗63% · @1.73
Double chanceSestao River or draw ✓88% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.15
Sestao River vs Gimnástica Torrelavega: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:30 WAT, Saturday 10 October: Sestao River v Gimnástica Torrelavega in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1, played at Estadio Las Llanas. In the table, Sestao River are 1st, leading the league, on 25 points after 10 matches; Gimnástica Torrelavega are 18th (in the drop zone) with 6. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Sestao River, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Gernika, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Gimnástica Torrelavega, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Marino de Luanco, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Sestao River, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.2 for Gimnástica Torrelavega.
Head to head
When they last met (11 Aug 2026) it ended Gimnástica Torrelavega 1–1 Sestao River.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sestao River 1.9 xG, Gimnástica Torrelavega 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sestao River 63%, draw 25%, Gimnástica Torrelavega 12%.
Lower-risk option: Sestao River or draw (88%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sestao River to win (63%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.59, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sestao River 1–0 Gimnástica Torrelavega. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sestao River63%fair 1.59 · @1.73
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.20
Gimnástica Torrelavega12%fair 8.64 · @4.60
2.60Expected goals
1.88Sestao River xG
0.72Gimnástica Torrelavega xG
50%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Sestao River 1.9 – 0.7 Gimnástica Torrelavega expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sestao River vs Gimnástica Torrelavega?
Our pick is Sestao River to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Sestao River vs Gimnástica Torrelavega?
On our numbers Sestao River have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Gimnástica Torrelavega 12%.
How many goals will there be in Sestao River vs Gimnástica Torrelavega?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sestao River vs Gimnástica Torrelavega?
Our predicted score is Sestao River 1–0 Gimnástica Torrelavega, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Sestao River vs Gimnástica Torrelavega?
Sestao River vs Gimnástica Torrelavega (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Las Llanas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
