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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Llanera v Marino de Luanco: numbers & prediction

Llanera

DWLLL
4–2
FT
Llanera 38%Draw 23%Marino de Luanco 39% Expected goals 1.44 – 1.46
62%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.65Odds
2

Value bet: Marino de Luanco to win @ 2.88 – our chance 39% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultMarino de Luanco to win ✗39% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.84

Llanera vs Marino de Luanco: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:00 WAT, Saturday 10 October: Llanera v Marino de Luanco in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1. In the table, Llanera are 13th, lower half, on 10 points after 10 matches; Marino de Luanco are 16th (in the drop zone) with 8. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Llanera, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Basconia, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Marino de Luanco, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Gimnástica Torrelavega, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Llanera 1.4 xG, Marino de Luanco 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Llanera 38%, draw 23%, Marino de Luanco 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.65.
  • Price worth noting: Marino de Luanco to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 39%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.61, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Llanera 1–1 Marino de Luanco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Llanera38%fair 2.64 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.00
Marino de Luanco39%fair 2.58 · @2.88
2.90Expected goals
1.44Llanera xG
1.46Marino de Luanco xG
62%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–28%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%

From our goals model: Llanera 1.4 – 1.5 Marino de Luanco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMarino de Luanco to win ✗39%2.582.88 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.611.65
Draw no betMarino de Luanco (draw no bet) ✗51%1.98–
Asian handicapLlanera +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.80–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗67%1.49–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗83%1.20–
First team to scoreMarino de Luanco to score first ✗48%2.10–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.47–
Half-time / full-timeHT Marino de Luanco / FT Marino de Luanco ✗22%4.49–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%11.84–

Recent results

Llanera – last 6

DWLLLD
3 Oct@ Basconia1–1D
27 Sepvs Racing Santander II2–1W
20 Sep@ Gernika0–4L
13 Sepvs Deportivo Alavés II1–2L
5 Sep@ Gimnástica Torrelavega1–2L
18 Aug@ Sporting Gijón II2–2D
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Marino de Luanco – last 6

WLLLWL
3 Oct@ Gimnástica Torrelavega2–1W
27 Sepvs Basconia1–2L
19 Sep@ Atlético Astorga0–3L
13 Sepvs Ourense CF0–2L
6 Sep@ Compostela3–0W
8 Augvs Ponferradina0–3L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Llanera and Marino de Luanco.

Llanera vs Marino de Luanco head-to-head page →

Segunda División RFEF Group 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Sestao River10811+1025
2Eibar II10622+1020
3Deportivo Alavés II10622+920
4Bergantiños10532+818
5Compostela10523+417
6Portugalete10442+316
7Amorebieta10514+216
8Real Oviedo II10433-315
9Basconia10352014
10Ourense CF10424-314
11Gernika10262+612
12Racing Santander II10325-411
13Llanera10316-810
14Coruxo10235-49
15Arosa10154-68
16Marino de Luanco10226-68
17Atlético Astorga10217-67
18Gimnástica Torrelavega10136-126

More Segunda División RFEF Group 1 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Llanera vs Marino de Luanco?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Llanera vs Marino de Luanco?

On our numbers Llanera have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Marino de Luanco 39%.

How many goals will there be in Llanera vs Marino de Luanco?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Llanera vs Marino de Luanco?

Our predicted score is Llanera 1–1 Marino de Luanco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Llanera vs Marino de Luanco?

Llanera vs Marino de Luanco (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.