Llanera 38%Draw 23%Marino de Luanco 39%Expected goals 1.44 – 1.46
62%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
2
Value bet: Marino de Luanco to win @ 2.88 – our chance 39% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMarino de Luanco to win ✗39% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.84
Llanera vs Marino de Luanco: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Saturday 10 October: Llanera v Marino de Luanco in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1. In the table, Llanera are 13th, lower half, on 10 points after 10 matches; Marino de Luanco are 16th (in the drop zone) with 8. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Llanera, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Basconia, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Marino de Luanco, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Gimnástica Torrelavega, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Llanera 1.4 xG, Marino de Luanco 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Llanera 38%, draw 23%, Marino de Luanco 39%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Marino de Luanco to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.61, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Llanera 1–1 Marino de Luanco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Llanera38%fair 2.64 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.00
Marino de Luanco39%fair 2.58 · @2.88
2.90Expected goals
1.44Llanera xG
1.46Marino de Luanco xG
62%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–28%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%
From our goals model: Llanera 1.4 – 1.5 Marino de Luanco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Marino de Luanco to win✗
39%
2.58
2.88 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.65
Draw no bet
Marino de Luanco (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Llanera +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
Marino de Luanco to score first✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Marino de Luanco / FT Marino de Luanco✗
22%
4.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.84
–
Recent results
Llanera – last 6
DWLLLD
3 Oct
@ Basconia
1–1
D
27 Sep
vs Racing Santander II
2–1
W
20 Sep
@ Gernika
0–4
L
13 Sep
vs Deportivo Alavés II
1–2
L
5 Sep
@ Gimnástica Torrelavega
1–2
L
18 Aug
@ Sporting Gijón II
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Marino de Luanco – last 6
WLLLWL
3 Oct
@ Gimnástica Torrelavega
2–1
W
27 Sep
vs Basconia
1–2
L
19 Sep
@ Atlético Astorga
0–3
L
13 Sep
vs Ourense CF
0–2
L
6 Sep
@ Compostela
3–0
W
8 Aug
vs Ponferradina
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Llanera and Marino de Luanco.
What is the prediction for Llanera vs Marino de Luanco?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Llanera vs Marino de Luanco?
On our numbers Llanera have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Marino de Luanco 39%.
How many goals will there be in Llanera vs Marino de Luanco?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Llanera vs Marino de Luanco?
Our predicted score is Llanera 1–1 Marino de Luanco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Llanera vs Marino de Luanco?
Llanera vs Marino de Luanco (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.