Eibar II 63%Draw 23%Basconia 14%Expected goals 2.09 – 0.91
86%
Betarazi pick
Eibar II or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Eibar II to win @ 1.80 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultEibar II to win ✗63% · @1.80
Double chanceEibar II or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.11
Eibar II vs Basconia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 10 October the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 brings Eibar II against Basconia. Kick-off: 11:30 WAT. In the table, Eibar II are 2nd, among the top four, on 20 points after 10 matches; Basconia are 9th (upper half) with 14.
Current form
Eibar II, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Racing Santander II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Basconia, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Llanera, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours Eibar II, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.5 for Basconia.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Feb 2026) it ended Eibar II 1–3 Basconia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Eibar II 2.1 xG, Basconia 0.9 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Eibar II 63%, draw 23%, Basconia 14%.
Lower-risk option: Eibar II or draw (86%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Eibar II to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Eibar II or draw (86%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.16, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Eibar II 2–0 Basconia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Eibar II63%fair 1.59 · @1.80
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.25
Basconia14%fair 7.35 · @3.90
3.00Expected goals
2.09Eibar II xG
0.91Basconia xG
58%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Eibar II 2.1 – 0.9 Basconia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Eibar II or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Eibar II vs Basconia?
On our numbers Eibar II have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Basconia 14%.
How many goals will there be in Eibar II vs Basconia?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Eibar II vs Basconia?
Our predicted score is Eibar II 2–0 Basconia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Eibar II vs Basconia?
Eibar II vs Basconia (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
