Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultCompostela to win ✓64% · @1.70
Double chanceCompostela or draw ✓85% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗61% · fair 1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.90
Compostela vs Atlético Astorga: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atlético Astorga travel to face Compostela on Saturday 17 October in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Compostela are 5th, upper half, on 17 points after 10 matches; Atlético Astorga are 17th (in the drop zone) with 7.
Current form
Compostela, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Coruxo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Atlético Astorga, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Ourense CF, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Compostela 1.7 xG, Atlético Astorga 0.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 39%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Compostela 64%, draw 20%, Atlético Astorga 15%.
Lower-risk option: Compostela or draw (85%) at 1.14.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Compostela to win (64%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.56, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Compostela 1–0 Atlético Astorga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Compostela64%fair 1.56 · @1.70
Draw20%fair 4.90 · @3.30
Atlético Astorga15%fair 6.53 · @4.33
2.28Expected goals
1.66Compostela xG
0.62Atlético Astorga xG
39%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–014%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Compostela 1.7 – 0.6 Atlético Astorga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Compostela to win✓
64%
1.56
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Compostela or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.14
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
–
Draw no bet
Compostela (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Compostela -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.71
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Compostela to score first✓
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Compostela / FT Compostela✓
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.90
–
Recent results
Compostela – last 6
WLLWDD
11 Oct
@ Coruxo
1–0
W
4 Oct
vs Real Oviedo II
1–2
L
27 Sep
@ Eibar II
0–1
L
20 Sep
vs Sestao River
2–0
W
13 Sep
@ Portugalete
0–0
D
9 Sep
vs Derio
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Atlético Astorga – last 6
WLLWLL
10 Oct
vs Ourense CF
4–0
W
3 Oct
vs Amorebieta
0–1
L
26 Sep
@ Sestao River
0–2
L
19 Sep
vs Marino de Luanco
3–0
W
13 Sep
@ Basconia
2–3
L
5 Sep
vs Portugalete
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Compostela and Atlético Astorga.
What is the prediction for Compostela vs Atlético Astorga?
Our pick is Compostela to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Compostela vs Atlético Astorga?
On our numbers Compostela have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Atlético Astorga 15%.
How many goals will there be in Compostela vs Atlético Astorga?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Compostela vs Atlético Astorga?
Our predicted score is Compostela 1–0 Atlético Astorga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Compostela vs Atlético Astorga?
Compostela vs Atlético Astorga (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
