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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Racing Santander II v Basconia: numbers & prediction

3–1
FT
Racing Santander II 30%Draw 21%Basconia 49% Expected goals 1.24 – 1.69
55%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.81 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.73Odds
2

Value bet: Basconia to win @ 2.20 – our chance 49% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultBasconia to win ✗49% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.94
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.59

Racing Santander II vs Basconia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Racing Santander II welcome Basconia for a Segunda División RFEF Group 1 fixture on Saturday 17 October (15:00 WAT). In the table, Racing Santander II are 12th, lower half, on 11 points after 10 matches; Basconia are 9th (upper half) with 14. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Racing Santander II, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Real Oviedo II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Basconia, last 5: DDWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Eibar II, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Basconia, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.2 for Racing Santander II.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Aug 2026) it ended Racing Santander II 3–3 Basconia.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Racing Santander II 1.2 xG, Basconia 1.7 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Racing Santander II 30%, draw 21%, Basconia 49%.
  • Price worth noting: Basconia to win @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 49%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Racing Santander II 1–2 Basconia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Racing Santander II30%fair 3.38 · @2.75
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.40
Basconia49%fair 2.03 · @2.20
2.93Expected goals
1.24Racing Santander II xG
1.69Basconia xG
52%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
0–28%
2–17%
1–07%

From our goals model: Racing Santander II 1.2 – 1.7 Basconia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBasconia to win ✗49%2.032.20 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.94–
Draw no betBasconia (draw no bet) ✗62%1.60–
Asian handicapRacing Santander II +1 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.26–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.811.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗66%1.51–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
First team to scoreBasconia to score first55%1.83–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.51–
Half-time / full-timeHT Basconia / FT Basconia ✗29%3.45–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.59–

Recent results

Racing Santander II – last 6

LLLLDL
11 Oct@ Real Oviedo II1–2L
3 Octvs Eibar II1–5L
27 Sep@ Llanera1–2L
20 Sepvs Amorebieta0–2L
13 Sep@ Coruxo1–1D
6 Sepvs Sestao River0–1L
0.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Basconia – last 6

DDWDWL
10 Oct@ Eibar II1–1D
3 Octvs Llanera1–1D
27 Sep@ Marino de Luanco2–1W
19 Sepvs Arosa2–2D
13 Sepvs Atlético Astorga3–2W
6 Sep@ Ourense CF1–2L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Aug 2026Racing Santander II v Basconia3–3
Racing Santander II vs Basconia head-to-head page →

Segunda División RFEF Group 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Sestao River10811+1025
2Eibar II10622+1020
3Deportivo Alavés II10622+920
4Bergantiños10532+818
5Compostela10523+417
6Portugalete10442+316
7Amorebieta10514+216
8Real Oviedo II10433-315
9Basconia10352014
10Ourense CF10424-314
11Gernika10262+612
12Racing Santander II10325-411
13Llanera10316-810
14Coruxo10235-49
15Arosa10154-68
16Marino de Luanco10226-68
17Atlético Astorga10217-67
18Gimnástica Torrelavega10136-126

More Segunda División RFEF Group 1 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Racing Santander II vs Basconia?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Racing Santander II vs Basconia?

On our numbers Racing Santander II have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Basconia 49%.

How many goals will there be in Racing Santander II vs Basconia?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Racing Santander II vs Basconia?

Our predicted score is Racing Santander II 1–2 Basconia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Racing Santander II vs Basconia?

Racing Santander II vs Basconia (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.