Gernika vs Amorebieta: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gernika welcome Amorebieta for a Segunda División RFEF Group 1 fixture on Saturday 17 October (17:00 WAT). In the table, Gernika are 11th, lower half, on 12 points after 10 matches; Amorebieta are 7th (upper half) with 16.
Current form
Gernika, last 5: DLDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Deportivo Alavés II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Amorebieta, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Portugalete, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gernika 1.4 xG, Amorebieta 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gernika 44%, draw 25%, Amorebieta 31%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.87, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gernika 1–1 Amorebieta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gernika44%fair 2.26 · @2.25
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @2.75
Amorebieta31%fair 3.27 · @3.25
2.58Expected goals
1.44Gernika xG
1.14Amorebieta xG
53%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Gernika 1.4 – 1.1 Amorebieta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gernika to win✗
44%
2.26
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Gernika (draw no bet)✗
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Amorebieta +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Gernika to score first✓
51%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gernika / FT Gernika✗
26%
3.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.18
–
Recent results
Gernika – last 6
DLDWWD
11 Oct
@ Deportivo Alavés II
1–1
D
4 Oct
vs Sestao River
1–2
L
27 Sep
@ Coruxo
1–1
D
20 Sep
vs Llanera
4–0
W
13 Sep
@ Arosa
4–0
W
6 Sep
vs Bergantiños
2–2
D
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Amorebieta – last 6
LWLWLD
10 Oct
vs Portugalete
1–2
L
3 Oct
@ Atlético Astorga
1–0
W
26 Sep
vs Ourense CF
0–1
L
20 Sep
@ Racing Santander II
2–0
W
13 Sep
@ Bergantiños
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Arosa
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gernika and Amorebieta.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Gernika vs Amorebieta?
On our numbers Gernika have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Amorebieta 31%.
How many goals will there be in Gernika vs Amorebieta?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gernika vs Amorebieta?
Our predicted score is Gernika 1–1 Amorebieta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Gernika vs Amorebieta?
Gernika vs Amorebieta (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
