Value bet: Eibar II to win @ 2.70 – our chance 43% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultEibar II to win ✗43% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.48
Portugalete vs Eibar II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Eibar II travel to face Portugalete on Saturday 17 October in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Portugalete are 6th, upper half, on 16 points after 10 matches; Eibar II are 2nd (among the top four) with 20.
Current form
Portugalete, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Amorebieta, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Eibar II, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Basconia, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Portugalete 1.1 xG, Eibar II 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Portugalete 34%, draw 23%, Eibar II 43%.
Price worth noting: Eibar II to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (58%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Portugalete 1–1 Eibar II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Portugalete34%fair 2.93 · @2.35
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.10
Eibar II43%fair 2.33 · @2.70
2.39Expected goals
1.10Portugalete xG
1.28Eibar II xG
45%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Portugalete 1.1 – 1.3 Eibar II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Eibar II to win✗
43%
2.33
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
–
Draw no bet
Eibar II (draw no bet)
56%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
Portugalete +1 (Asian handicap)✓
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Eibar II to score first✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Eibar II / FT Eibar II✗
23%
4.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.48
–
Recent results
Portugalete – last 6
WLLWDW
10 Oct
@ Amorebieta
2–1
W
3 Oct
vs Deportivo Alavés II
0–2
L
27 Sep
@ Bergantiños
2–3
L
19 Sep
vs Coruxo
2–1
W
13 Sep
vs Compostela
0–0
D
5 Sep
@ Atlético Astorga
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Eibar II – last 6
DWWWWL
10 Oct
vs Basconia
1–1
D
3 Oct
@ Racing Santander II
5–1
W
27 Sep
vs Compostela
1–0
W
19 Sep
@ Ourense CF
2–0
W
12 Sep
vs Gimnástica Torrelavega
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Real Oviedo II
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Portugalete and Eibar II.
What is the prediction for Portugalete vs Eibar II?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Portugalete vs Eibar II?
On our numbers Portugalete have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Eibar II 43%.
How many goals will there be in Portugalete vs Eibar II?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portugalete vs Eibar II?
Our predicted score is Portugalete 1–1 Eibar II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Portugalete vs Eibar II?
Portugalete vs Eibar II (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
