Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.72
Ourense CF vs Coruxo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 17 October the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 brings Ourense CF against Coruxo at Estadio de O Couto. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Ourense CF are 10th, lower half, on 14 points after 10 matches; Coruxo are 14th (lower half) with 9.
Current form
Ourense CF, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Atlético Astorga, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Coruxo, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Compostela, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Ourense CF, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Coruxo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ourense CF 1.5 xG, Coruxo 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 44%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ourense CF 56%, draw 20%, Coruxo 24%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (58%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ourense CF 1–0 Coruxo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ourense CF56%fair 1.79 · @1.80
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @3.40
Coruxo24%fair 4.19 · @3.80
2.30Expected goals
1.48Ourense CF xG
0.82Coruxo xG
44%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–112%
2–011%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Ourense CF 1.5 – 0.8 Coruxo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ourense CF to win✗
56%
1.79
1.80
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
–
Draw no bet
Ourense CF (draw no bet)✗
70%
1.43
–
Asian handicap
Coruxo +1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Ourense CF to score first✗
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ourense CF / FT Ourense CF✗
32%
3.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.72
–
Recent results
Ourense CF – last 6
LDWLWW
10 Oct
@ Atlético Astorga
0–4
L
4 Oct
vs Arosa
0–0
D
26 Sep
@ Amorebieta
1–0
W
19 Sep
vs Eibar II
0–2
L
13 Sep
@ Marino de Luanco
2–0
W
6 Sep
vs Basconia
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Coruxo – last 6
LLDLDW
11 Oct
vs Compostela
0–1
L
4 Oct
@ Bergantiños
1–3
L
27 Sep
vs Gernika
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Portugalete
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs Racing Santander II
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Deportivo Alavés II
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ourense CF and Coruxo.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Ourense CF vs Coruxo?
On our numbers Ourense CF have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Coruxo 24%.
How many goals will there be in Ourense CF vs Coruxo?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ourense CF vs Coruxo?
Our predicted score is Ourense CF 1–0 Coruxo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Ourense CF vs Coruxo?
Ourense CF vs Coruxo (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de O Couto.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
