Alcoyano 65%Draw 22%Real Murcia II 12%Expected goals 1.88 – 0.69
65%
Betarazi pick
Alcoyano to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAlcoyano to win ✗65% · @1.44
Double chanceAlcoyano or draw ✓88% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.73
Alcoyano vs Real Murcia II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Real Murcia II travel to face Alcoyano on Sunday 1 November in the Segunda División RFEF Group 3, with Estadio El Collao the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Alcoyano are 7th, upper half, on 14 points after 9 matches; Real Murcia II are 15th (lower half) with 8.
Current form
Alcoyano, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Atlético Baleares, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Real Murcia II, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Lorca Deportiva, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alcoyano 1.9 xG, Real Murcia II 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alcoyano 65%, draw 22%, Real Murcia II 12%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Alcoyano to win (65%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alcoyano 1–0 Real Murcia II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alcoyano65%fair 1.53 · @1.44
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.60
Real Murcia II12%fair 8.09 · @7.00
2.57Expected goals
1.88Alcoyano xG
0.69Real Murcia II xG
51%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: Alcoyano 1.9 – 0.7 Real Murcia II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alcoyano to win✗
65%
1.53
1.44
Double chance
Alcoyano or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Alcoyano (draw no bet)
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Alcoyano -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Alcoyano to score first✓
68%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Alcoyano ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alcoyano / FT Alcoyano✗
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.73
–
Recent results
Alcoyano – last 6
LLWWWL
25 Oct
@ Atlético Baleares
0–2
L
11 Oct
@ Ucam Murcia
0–2
L
4 Oct
@ Mallorca II
1–0
W
27 Sep
vs Deportiva Minera
2–0
W
20 Sep
vs Poblense
2–0
W
12 Sep
@ Castellón II
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Real Murcia II – last 6
WDLWLL
25 Oct
vs Lorca Deportiva
3–2
W
11 Oct
vs Yeclano
1–1
D
4 Oct
@ Castellonense
0–3
L
27 Sep
@ Peña Deportiva
2–0
W
20 Sep
vs Mallorca II
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ La Nucía
1–5
L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alcoyano and Real Murcia II.
What is the prediction for Alcoyano vs Real Murcia II?
Our pick is Alcoyano to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Alcoyano vs Real Murcia II?
On our numbers Alcoyano have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Real Murcia II 12%.
How many goals will there be in Alcoyano vs Real Murcia II?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alcoyano vs Real Murcia II?
Our predicted score is Alcoyano 1–0 Real Murcia II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Alcoyano vs Real Murcia II?
Alcoyano vs Real Murcia II (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Collao.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
