La Nucía 59%Draw 26%Intercity 15%Expected goals 1.75 – 0.78
85%
Betarazi pick
La Nucía or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: La Nucía to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLa Nucía to win ✗59% · @1.95
Double chanceLa Nucía or draw ✗85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.19
La Nucía vs Intercity: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
La Nucía welcome Intercity for a Segunda División RFEF Group 3 fixture on Sunday 1 November (12:00 WAT). In the table, La Nucía are 5th, upper half, on 15 points after 9 matches; Intercity are 9th (upper half) with 13. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
La Nucía, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Castellón II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Intercity, last 5: LLDWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Castellonense, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours La Nucía, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Intercity.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give La Nucía 1.8 xG, Intercity 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – La Nucía 59%, draw 26%, Intercity 15%.
Lower-risk option: La Nucía or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Price worth noting: La Nucía to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was La Nucía or draw (85%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: La Nucía 1–0 Intercity. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
La Nucía59%fair 1.69 · @1.95
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @3.10
Intercity15%fair 6.63 · @3.60
2.53Expected goals
1.75La Nucía xG
0.78Intercity xG
45%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: La Nucía 1.8 – 0.8 Intercity expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
La Nucía to win✗
59%
1.69
1.95 ▲
Double chance
La Nucía or draw✗
85%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
–
Draw no bet
La Nucía (draw no bet)✗
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
La Nucía -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
La Nucía to score first✗
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
La Nucía ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT La Nucía / FT La Nucía✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.19
–
Recent results
La Nucía – last 6
LLLWWW
25 Oct
@ Castellón II
1–2
L
11 Oct
vs Lorca Deportiva
1–3
L
4 Oct
@ Deportiva Minera
0–2
L
27 Sep
vs Mallorca II
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ Yeclano
1–0
W
13 Sep
vs Real Murcia II
5–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Intercity – last 6
LLDWDD
24 Oct
vs Castellonense
0–2
L
11 Oct
@ Cieza
1–3
L
4 Oct
vs Yeclano
1–1
D
27 Sep
@ Ucam Murcia
2–1
W
20 Sep
@ Lorca Deportiva
0–0
D
13 Sep
vs Atlético Baleares
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between La Nucía and Intercity.
Our pick is La Nucía or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win La Nucía vs Intercity?
On our numbers La Nucía have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Intercity 15%.
How many goals will there be in La Nucía vs Intercity?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for La Nucía vs Intercity?
Our predicted score is La Nucía 1–0 Intercity, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is La Nucía vs Intercity?
La Nucía vs Intercity (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
