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Ucam Murcia v Mallorca II: numbers & prediction

Segunda División RFEF Group 3 · Spain · Estadio de La Condomina
5–1
FT
Ucam Murcia 64%Draw 20%Mallorca II 16% Expected goals 1.90 – 0.79
64%
Betarazi pick

Ucam Murcia to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.65Odds

Picks by market

ResultUcam Murcia to win ✓64% · @1.65
Double chanceUcam Murcia or draw ✓84% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.32

Ucam Murcia vs Mallorca II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Ucam Murcia welcome Mallorca II to Estadio de La Condomina for a Segunda División RFEF Group 3 fixture on Sunday 1 November (12:00 WAT). In the table, Ucam Murcia are 2nd, among the top four, on 19 points after 10 matches; Mallorca II are 13th (lower half) with 12.

Current form

Ucam Murcia, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Cieza, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.

Mallorca II, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Elche II, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Ucam Murcia, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Mallorca II.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ucam Murcia 1.9 xG, Mallorca II 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ucam Murcia 64%, draw 20%, Mallorca II 16%.
  • Lower-risk option: Ucam Murcia or draw (84%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Ucam Murcia to win (64%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.56, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ucam Murcia 1–0 Mallorca II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ucam Murcia64%fair 1.56 · @1.65
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @3.30
Mallorca II16%fair 6.44 · @4.80
2.69Expected goals
1.90Ucam Murcia xG
0.79Mallorca II xG
51%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%

From our goals model: Ucam Murcia 1.9 – 0.8 Mallorca II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUcam Murcia to win ✓64%1.561.65 ▲
Double chanceUcam Murcia or draw ✓84%1.181.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.961.83
Draw no betUcam Murcia (draw no bet) ✓80%1.24–
Asian handicapUcam Murcia -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓50%1.98–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72%1.40–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗86%1.16–
First team to scoreUcam Murcia to score first ✓66%1.52–
Half-time resultUcam Murcia ahead at half-time ✓45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ucam Murcia / FT Ucam Murcia ✓40%2.48–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.32–

Recent results

Ucam Murcia – last 6

LWWLWW
25 Octvs Cieza2–4L
11 Octvs Alcoyano2–0W
3 Oct@ Elche II5–1W
27 Sepvs Intercity1–2L
20 Sep@ Atlético Baleares4–1W
13 Sepvs Valencia II1–0W
2.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Mallorca II – last 6

WLDLLW
25 Octvs Elche II4–0W
18 Octvs Orihuela0–2L
11 Oct@ Atlético Baleares2–2D
4 Octvs Alcoyano0–1L
27 Sep@ La Nucía0–2L
20 Sep@ Real Murcia II1–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ucam Murcia and Mallorca II.

Ucam Murcia vs Mallorca II head-to-head page →

Segunda División RFEF Group 3 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Deportiva Minera9621+720
2Ucam Murcia10613+1119
3Castellón II9603+1018
4Castellonense9513+516
5La Nucía9504+115
6Cieza9423+614
7Alcoyano9423-114
8Lorca Deportiva10343+213
9Intercity9342+113
10Atlético Baleares10343013
11Poblense10415-313
12Orihuela10343-513
13Mallorca II10334-312
14Yeclano10253-211
15Real Murcia II9225-88
16Elche II9225-108
17Valencia II9144-57
18Peña Deportiva10217-67

More Segunda División RFEF Group 3 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ucam Murcia vs Mallorca II?

Our pick is Ucam Murcia to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Ucam Murcia vs Mallorca II?

On our numbers Ucam Murcia have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Mallorca II 16%.

How many goals will there be in Ucam Murcia vs Mallorca II?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ucam Murcia vs Mallorca II?

Our predicted score is Ucam Murcia 1–0 Mallorca II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Ucam Murcia vs Mallorca II?

Ucam Murcia vs Mallorca II (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de La Condomina.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.