Don Benito 41%Draw 23%Las Palmas II 36%Expected goals 1.17 – 1.06
58%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultDon Benito to win ✓41% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.98
Don Benito vs Las Palmas II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
10:30 WAT, Sunday 13 September: Don Benito v Las Palmas II in the Segunda División RFEF Group 4. In the table, Don Benito are 2nd, among the top four, on 20 points after 10 matches; Las Palmas II are 18th (in the drop zone) with 5. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Don Benito, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Antoniano, away. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Las Palmas II, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Real Betis II, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Don Benito, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.7 for Las Palmas II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Don Benito 1.2 xG, Las Palmas II 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Don Benito 41%, draw 23%, Las Palmas II 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (58%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Don Benito 1–1 Las Palmas II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Don Benito41%fair 2.43 · @2.55
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.10
Las Palmas II36%fair 2.78 · @2.50
2.23Expected goals
1.17Don Benito xG
1.06Las Palmas II xG
46%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Don Benito 1.2 – 1.1 Las Palmas II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Don Benito to win✓
41%
2.43
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
–
Draw no bet
Don Benito (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.87
–
Asian handicap
Las Palmas II +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Don Benito to score first✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Don Benito / FT Don Benito✓
22%
4.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.98
–
Recent results
Don Benito – last 6
WWWWWD
6 Sep
@ Antoniano
2–1
W
3 May
vs Diocesano
8–1
W
12 Apr
vs Santa Amalia
1–0
W
5 Apr
vs Azuaga
1–0
W
29 Mar
vs Gévora
2–0
W
22 Mar
@ Calamonte
1–1
D
2.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Las Palmas II – last 6
LDWLLL
6 Sep
vs Real Betis II
0–1
L
3 May
@ Socuéllamos
1–1
D
26 Apr
vs Orihuela
2–1
W
19 Apr
@ Getafe II
0–3
L
11 Apr
vs Real Madrid III
0–1
L
5 Apr
@ RSD Alcalá
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Don Benito and Las Palmas II.
What is the prediction for Don Benito vs Las Palmas II?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Don Benito vs Las Palmas II?
On our numbers Don Benito have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Las Palmas II 36%.
How many goals will there be in Don Benito vs Las Palmas II?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Don Benito vs Las Palmas II?
Our predicted score is Don Benito 1–1 Las Palmas II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Don Benito vs Las Palmas II?
Don Benito vs Las Palmas II (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
