Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.32
Mijas Las Lagunas vs Ciudad de Lucena: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ciudad de Lucena travel to face Mijas Las Lagunas on Sunday 13 September in the Segunda División RFEF Group 4 – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Mijas Las Lagunas are 7th, upper half, on 15 points after 10 matches; Ciudad de Lucena are 3rd (among the top four) with 19.
Current form
Mijas Las Lagunas, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Puente Genil, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Ciudad de Lucena, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Linares Deportivo, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Ciudad de Lucena, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Mijas Las Lagunas.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mijas Las Lagunas 1.1 xG, Ciudad de Lucena 1.7 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 49%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mijas Las Lagunas 24%, draw 23%, Ciudad de Lucena 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Ciudad de Lucena to win (53%, odds 2.05 – longer than our fair 1.90, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mijas Las Lagunas 0–1 Ciudad de Lucena. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mijas Las Lagunas24%fair 4.08 · @3.25
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.10
Ciudad de Lucena53%fair 1.90 · @2.05
2.76Expected goals
1.07Mijas Las Lagunas xG
1.69Ciudad de Lucena xG
49%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
0–111%
1–210%
0–29%
1–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Mijas Las Lagunas 1.1 – 1.7 Ciudad de Lucena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ciudad de Lucena to win✗
53%
1.90
2.05 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
–
Draw no bet
Ciudad de Lucena (draw no bet)
68%
1.47
–
Asian handicap
Mijas Las Lagunas +1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
Ciudad de Lucena to score first✗
57%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ciudad de Lucena / FT Ciudad de Lucena✗
32%
3.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.32
–
Recent results
Mijas Las Lagunas – last 6
LDWWDL
6 Sep
@ Puente Genil
0–4
L
10 May
@ Granada II
4–4
D
26 Apr
@ Huétor Tájar
1–0
W
19 Apr
vs UD Melilla II
4–1
W
5 Apr
@ Motril
2–2
D
15 Mar
vs Arenas Armilla
0–1
L
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Ciudad de Lucena – last 6
DWLWWW
6 Sep
@ Linares Deportivo
1–1
D
10 May
vs Dos Hermanas
2–1
W
3 May
@ Cádiz II
0–3
L
12 Apr
@ Sevilla III
3–0
W
5 Apr
vs Linense
3–0
W
28 Mar
@ Recreativo Huelva
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mijas Las Lagunas and Ciudad de Lucena.
What is the prediction for Mijas Las Lagunas vs Ciudad de Lucena?
Our pick is Ciudad de Lucena to win with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Mijas Las Lagunas vs Ciudad de Lucena?
On our numbers Mijas Las Lagunas have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ciudad de Lucena 53%.
How many goals will there be in Mijas Las Lagunas vs Ciudad de Lucena?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mijas Las Lagunas vs Ciudad de Lucena?
Our predicted score is Mijas Las Lagunas 0–1 Ciudad de Lucena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Mijas Las Lagunas vs Ciudad de Lucena?
Mijas Las Lagunas vs Ciudad de Lucena (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
