Sevilla Atletico v Marbella Prediction & Expected Goals (13 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultMarbella to win ✗40% · @2.75

Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.40

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @2.00

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.82

Sevilla Atletico vs Marbella: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sevilla Atletico welcome Marbella to Estadio Jesus Navas for a Segunda División RFEF Group 4 fixture on Sunday 13 September (11:00 WAT). In the table, Sevilla Atletico are 10th, lower half, on 14 points after 10 matches; Marbella are 15th (lower half) with 10.

Current form

Sevilla Atletico, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Tamaraceite, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Marbella, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Sanluqueño, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Mar 2026) it ended Marbella 3–0 Sevilla Atletico.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sevilla Atletico 1.2 xG, Marbella 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Sevilla Atletico 33%, draw 26%, Marbella 40%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 2.00.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.74, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sevilla Atletico 1–1 Marbella. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sevilla Atletico33%fair 2.99 · @2.62

Draw26%fair 3.81 · @2.62

Marbella40%fair 2.48 · @2.75

2.50Expected goals

1.18Sevilla Atletico xG

1.32Marbella xG

57%Both score

46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

0–111%

1–010%

1–28%

0–08%

2–18%

From our goals model: Sevilla Atletico 1.2 – 1.3 Marbella expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Marbella to win ✗	40%	2.48	2.75 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	74%	1.36	1.40
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	57%	1.74	2.00 ▲
Draw no bet	Marbella (draw no bet) ✗	55%	1.83	–
Asian handicap	Sevilla Atletico +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	77%	1.30	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	71%	1.40	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	54%	1.84	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	76%	1.32	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	89%	1.12	–
First team to score	Marbella to score first ✗	49%	2.06	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	44%	2.27	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Marbella / FT Marbella ✗	23%	4.32	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	8%	11.82	–

Sevilla Atletico – last 6

WDWLLD

6 Sep	@ Tamaraceite	1–0	W
10 May	vs Eldense	2–2	D
19 Apr	@ Ibiza	1–0	W
29 Mar	vs Real Murcia	0–1	L
22 Mar	@ Marbella	0–3	L
15 Mar	vs Antequera	1–1	D

0.8Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Marbella – last 6

DWLWLL

6 Sep	vs Sanluqueño	2–2	D
22 May	vs Teruel	3–1	W
10 May	vs Juventud Torremolinos	0–1	L
19 Apr	vs Gimnastic	2–0	W
10 Apr	@ Atlético Madrid II	4–5	L
29 Mar	@ Hércules	0–2	L

1.8Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Recreativo Huelva	10	6	3	1	+13	21
2	Don Benito	10	6	2	2	+5	20
3	Ciudad de Lucena	10	5	4	1	+7	19
4	Badajoz	10	4	5	1	+3	17
5	Real Betis II	9	4	3	2	+5	15
6	Xerez	10	4	3	3	+5	15
7	Mijas Las Lagunas	10	3	6	1	+4	15
8	Estepona	10	4	3	3	+3	15
9	Atlético Central	10	5	0	5	-2	15
10	Sevilla Atletico	10	3	5	2	+2	14
11	Linares Deportivo	10	3	5	2	0	14
12	Puente Genil	10	3	3	4	+1	12
13	Sanluqueño	10	2	4	4	-3	10
14	Tenerife II	9	3	1	5	-3	10
15	Marbella	10	2	4	4	-3	10
16	Antoniano	10	1	3	6	-9	6
17	Tamaraceite	10	2	0	8	-15	6
18	Las Palmas II	10	1	2	7	-13	5

Team

Pts

+13

-2

-3

-3

-3

-9

-15

-13

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sevilla Atletico vs Marbella?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.

Who will win Sevilla Atletico vs Marbella?

On our numbers Sevilla Atletico have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Marbella 40%.

How many goals will there be in Sevilla Atletico vs Marbella?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sevilla Atletico vs Marbella?

Our predicted score is Sevilla Atletico 1–1 Marbella, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Sevilla Atletico vs Marbella?

Sevilla Atletico vs Marbella (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jesus Navas.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Sevilla Atletico v Marbella: numbers & prediction