Ciudad de Lucena 56%Draw 23%Puente Genil 21%Expected goals 1.58 – 0.84
79%
Betarazi pick
Ciudad de Lucena or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultCiudad de Lucena to win ✓56% · @1.85
Double chanceCiudad de Lucena or draw ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 7.12
Ciudad de Lucena vs Puente Genil: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Sunday 4 October: Ciudad de Lucena v Puente Genil in the Segunda División RFEF Group 4. In the table, Ciudad de Lucena are 3rd, among the top four, on 19 points after 10 matches; Puente Genil are 12th (lower half) with 12.
Current form
Ciudad de Lucena, last 5: WLDDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Antoniano, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Puente Genil, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Marbella, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ciudad de Lucena 1.6 xG, Puente Genil 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ciudad de Lucena 56%, draw 23%, Puente Genil 21%.
Lower-risk option: Ciudad de Lucena or draw (79%) at 1.22.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Ciudad de Lucena or draw (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ciudad de Lucena 1–0 Puente Genil. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ciudad de Lucena56%fair 1.79 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.25
Puente Genil21%fair 4.81 · @3.70
2.42Expected goals
1.58Ciudad de Lucena xG
0.84Puente Genil xG
45%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Ciudad de Lucena 1.6 – 0.8 Puente Genil expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ciudad de Lucena to win✓
56%
1.79
1.85
Double chance
Ciudad de Lucena or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.80
–
Draw no bet
Ciudad de Lucena (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Puente Genil +1 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Ciudad de Lucena to score first✓
60%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ciudad de Lucena / FT Ciudad de Lucena✓
33%
3.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
14%
7.12
–
Recent results
Ciudad de Lucena – last 6
WLDDWL
27 Sep
@ Antoniano
3–0
W
20 Sep
vs Tenerife II
1–2
L
13 Sep
@ Mijas Las Lagunas
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Linares Deportivo
1–1
D
10 May
vs Dos Hermanas
2–1
W
3 May
@ Cádiz II
0–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Puente Genil – last 6
DLLWLW
27 Sep
vs Marbella
0–0
D
19 Sep
vs Estepona
0–2
L
13 Sep
@ Recreativo Huelva
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs Mijas Las Lagunas
4–0
W
3 May
@ La Unión Atlético
0–1
L
26 Apr
vs Málaga II
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ciudad de Lucena and Puente Genil.
What is the prediction for Ciudad de Lucena vs Puente Genil?
Our pick is Ciudad de Lucena or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Ciudad de Lucena vs Puente Genil?
On our numbers Ciudad de Lucena have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Puente Genil 21%.
How many goals will there be in Ciudad de Lucena vs Puente Genil?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ciudad de Lucena vs Puente Genil?
Our predicted score is Ciudad de Lucena 1–0 Puente Genil, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Ciudad de Lucena vs Puente Genil?
Ciudad de Lucena vs Puente Genil (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
