Value bet: Badajoz to win @ 3.60 – our chance 33% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSevilla Atletico to win ✗43% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.20
Sevilla Atletico vs Badajoz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
10:30 WAT, Sunday 4 October: Sevilla Atletico v Badajoz in the Segunda División RFEF Group 4, played at Estadio Jesus Navas. In the table, Sevilla Atletico are 10th, lower half, on 14 points after 10 matches; Badajoz are 4th (among the top four) with 17. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Sevilla Atletico, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Atlético Central, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Badajoz, last 5: DLWWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Las Palmas II, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sevilla Atletico 1.2 xG, Badajoz 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sevilla Atletico 43%, draw 24%, Badajoz 33%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Badajoz to win @3.60 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (52%, odds 1.83). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sevilla Atletico 1–0 Badajoz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sevilla Atletico43%fair 2.32 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @2.90
Badajoz33%fair 3.07 · @3.60
2.13Expected goals
1.17Sevilla Atletico xG
0.96Badajoz xG
48%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Sevilla Atletico 1.2 – 1.0 Badajoz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sevilla Atletico to win✗
43%
2.32
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
1.83
Draw no bet
Sevilla Atletico (draw no bet)
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
Badajoz +1 (Asian handicap)✓
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Sevilla Atletico to score first
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sevilla Atletico / FT Sevilla Atletico✗
23%
4.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.20
–
Recent results
Sevilla Atletico – last 6
LDWWDW
27 Sep
@ Atlético Central
0–2
L
20 Sep
vs Sanluqueño
2–2
D
13 Sep
vs Marbella
3–0
W
6 Sep
@ Tamaraceite
1–0
W
10 May
vs Eldense
2–2
D
19 Apr
@ Ibiza
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Badajoz – last 6
DLWWDW
27 Sep
@ Las Palmas II
0–0
D
20 Sep
vs Real Betis II
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ Xerez
2–1
W
6 Sep
vs Tenerife II
2–1
W
20 Jun
@ Cuarte
1–1
D
14 Jun
vs Cuarte
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sevilla Atletico and Badajoz.
What is the prediction for Sevilla Atletico vs Badajoz?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Sevilla Atletico vs Badajoz?
On our numbers Sevilla Atletico have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Badajoz 33%.
How many goals will there be in Sevilla Atletico vs Badajoz?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sevilla Atletico vs Badajoz?
Our predicted score is Sevilla Atletico 1–0 Badajoz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Sevilla Atletico vs Badajoz?
Sevilla Atletico vs Badajoz (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jesus Navas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
