Value bet: Mijas Las Lagunas to win @ 3.10 – our chance 34% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSanluqueño to win ✗44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.30
Sanluqueño vs Mijas Las Lagunas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sanluqueño welcome Mijas Las Lagunas to Estadio El Palmar for a Segunda División RFEF Group 4 fixture on Sunday 4 October (11:00 WAT). In the table, Sanluqueño are 13th, lower half, on 10 points after 10 matches; Mijas Las Lagunas are 7th (upper half) with 15.
Current form
Sanluqueño, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Don Benito, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Mijas Las Lagunas, last 5: WDDLD Their latest outing: 6–2 win over Tamaraceite, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sanluqueño 1.7 xG, Mijas Las Lagunas 1.5 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 57% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sanluqueño 44%, draw 22%, Mijas Las Lagunas 34%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Mijas Las Lagunas to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.74, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sanluqueño 1–1 Mijas Las Lagunas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sanluqueño44%fair 2.28 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.25
Mijas Las Lagunas34%fair 2.90 · @3.10
3.25Expected goals
1.74Sanluqueño xG
1.51Mijas Las Lagunas xG
57%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Sanluqueño 1.7 – 1.5 Mijas Las Lagunas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sanluqueño to win✗
44%
2.28
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
1.85 ▲
Draw no bet
Sanluqueño (draw no bet)
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
Mijas Las Lagunas +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
First team to score
Sanluqueño to score first✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.65
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sanluqueño / FT Sanluqueño✗
26%
3.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.30
–
Recent results
Sanluqueño – last 6
LDWDWL
26 Sep
@ Don Benito
0–1
L
20 Sep
@ Sevilla Atletico
2–2
D
13 Sep
vs Tamaraceite
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Marbella
2–2
D
6 Mar
@ Real Murcia
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Sabadell
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Mijas Las Lagunas – last 6
WDDLDW
27 Sep
vs Tamaraceite
6–2
W
20 Sep
@ Antoniano
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs Ciudad de Lucena
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Puente Genil
0–4
L
10 May
@ Granada II
4–4
D
26 Apr
@ Huétor Tájar
1–0
W
2.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sanluqueño and Mijas Las Lagunas.
What is the prediction for Sanluqueño vs Mijas Las Lagunas?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Sanluqueño vs Mijas Las Lagunas?
On our numbers Sanluqueño have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Mijas Las Lagunas 34%.
How many goals will there be in Sanluqueño vs Mijas Las Lagunas?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sanluqueño vs Mijas Las Lagunas?
Our predicted score is Sanluqueño 1–1 Mijas Las Lagunas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Sanluqueño vs Mijas Las Lagunas?
Sanluqueño vs Mijas Las Lagunas (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Palmar.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
