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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Real Madrid III v Albacete II: numbers & prediction

0–0
FT
Real Madrid III 30%Draw 50%Albacete II 20% Expected goals 1.35 – 1.14
80%
Betarazi pick

Real Madrid III or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.28Odds
X

Value bet: Draw @ 3.60 – our chance 50% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +79%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultDraw ✓50% · @3.60
Double chanceReal Madrid III or draw ✓80% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–0 ✓8% · fair 12.08

Real Madrid III vs Albacete II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Real Madrid III welcome Albacete II for a Segunda División RFEF Group 5 fixture on Sunday 6 September (10:00 WAT). In the table, Real Madrid III are 11th, lower half, on 11 points after 10 matches; Albacete II are 10th (lower half) with 12. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Real Madrid III, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Gimnástica Segoviana, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Albacete II, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Leioa, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Real Madrid III 1.4 xG, Albacete II 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 48%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Real Madrid III 30%, draw 50%, Albacete II 20%.
  • Lower-risk option: Real Madrid III or draw (80%) at 1.28.
  • Price worth noting: Draw @3.60 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 50%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Real Madrid III or draw (80%, odds 1.28 – longer than our fair 1.25, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Madrid III 1–1 Albacete II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Real Madrid III30%fair 3.32 · @2.00
Draw50%fair 2.01 · @3.60
Albacete II20%fair 4.98 · @3.00
2.49Expected goals
1.35Real Madrid III xG
1.14Albacete II xG
48%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%

From our goals model: Real Madrid III 1.4 – 1.1 Albacete II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDraw ✓50%2.013.60 ▲
Double chanceReal Madrid III or draw ✓80%1.251.28
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓52%1.91–
Draw no betReal Madrid III (draw no bet)60%1.67–
Asian handicapAlbacete II +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗71%1.41–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.831.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreReal Madrid III to score first ✗50%2.01–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Real Madrid III / FT Real Madrid III ✗24%4.13–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–0 ✓8%12.08–

Recent results

Real Madrid III – last 6

WLWWWL
29 Aug@ Gimnástica Segoviana1–0W
3 Mayvs Conquense0–1L
26 Apr@ SS Reyes3–0W
14 Aprvs Colonia Moscardó1–0W
11 Apr@ Las Palmas II1–0W
5 Aprvs CD Coria2–3L
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Albacete II – last 6

WLWLWD
21 Junvs Leioa2–0W
13 Jun@ Leioa0–1L
6 Junvs Manchego3–0W
30 May@ Manchego0–2L
24 May@ Toledo1–0W
17 Mayvs Toledo0–0D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Real Madrid III and Albacete II.

Real Madrid III vs Albacete II head-to-head page →

Segunda División RFEF Group 5 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Numancia10541+1119
2Salamanca UDS10613+519
3SS Reyes10613+419
4Conquense9531+918
5A Madrid III10532+318
6Real Valladolid II10523+617
7Navalcarnero10442+316
8CF Talavera9432+315
9Guadalajara10343013
10Albacete II10334-1112
11Real Madrid III10253-111
12Atlético Tordesillas10244010
13RSD Alcalá10244-110
14Gimnástica Segoviana10244-110
15Atlético Paso10244-210
16Getafe II10154-48
17Real Ávila10217-107
18Calvo Sotelo10136-146

More Segunda División RFEF Group 5 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Real Madrid III vs Albacete II?

Our pick is Real Madrid III or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Real Madrid III vs Albacete II?

On our numbers Real Madrid III have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 50% and Albacete II 20%.

How many goals will there be in Real Madrid III vs Albacete II?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Real Madrid III vs Albacete II?

Our predicted score is Real Madrid III 1–1 Albacete II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Real Madrid III vs Albacete II?

Real Madrid III vs Albacete II (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.