Value bet: Draw @ 3.40 – our chance 51% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +73%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDraw ✗51% · @3.40
Double chanceGuadalajara or draw ✗76% · @1.44
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗12% · fair 8.01
Guadalajara vs Salamanca UDS: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Sunday 6 September: Guadalajara v Salamanca UDS in the Segunda División RFEF Group 5. In the table, Guadalajara are 9th, upper half, on 13 points after 10 matches; Salamanca UDS are 2nd (among the top four) with 19.
Current form
Guadalajara, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Marchamalo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Salamanca UDS, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Atlético Astorga, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Guadalajara, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Salamanca UDS.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Guadalajara 1.3 xG, Salamanca UDS 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Guadalajara 25%, draw 51%, Salamanca UDS 24%.
Lower-risk option: Guadalajara or draw (76%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Draw @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Guadalajara or draw (76%, odds 1.44 – longer than our fair 1.31, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guadalajara 1–1 Salamanca UDS. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Guadalajara25%fair 3.98 · @2.40
Draw51%fair 1.96 · @3.40
Salamanca UDS24%fair 4.18 · @2.50
2.62Expected goals
1.32Guadalajara xG
1.30Salamanca UDS xG
50%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Guadalajara 1.3 – 1.3 Salamanca UDS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
51%
1.96
3.40 ▲
Double chance
Guadalajara or draw✗
76%
1.31
1.44 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
–
Draw no bet
Guadalajara (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
Salamanca UDS +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
87%
1.14
–
First team to score
Guadalajara to score first✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guadalajara / FT Guadalajara✗
22%
4.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
12%
8.01
–
Recent results
Guadalajara – last 6
LWLDWW
18 Aug
@ Marchamalo
0–1
L
3 Apr
vs Racing Ferrol
1–0
W
29 Mar
@ Osasuna II
3–4
L
22 Mar
vs CF Talavera
1–1
D
13 Mar
@ Mérida AD
4–1
W
8 Mar
vs Celta de Vigo II
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Salamanca UDS – last 6
LLWLLL
26 Aug
@ Atlético Astorga
1–2
L
15 Aug
@ Cultural Leonesa
0–5
L
3 May
vs Lealtad
2–1
W
26 Apr
@ Burgos Promesas
1–2
L
19 Apr
vs Deportivo La Coruña II
0–1
L
5 Apr
vs Racing Santander II
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guadalajara and Salamanca UDS.
What is the prediction for Guadalajara vs Salamanca UDS?
Our pick is Guadalajara or draw with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Guadalajara vs Salamanca UDS?
On our numbers Guadalajara have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 51% and Salamanca UDS 24%.
How many goals will there be in Guadalajara vs Salamanca UDS?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guadalajara vs Salamanca UDS?
Our predicted score is Guadalajara 1–1 Salamanca UDS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Guadalajara vs Salamanca UDS?
Guadalajara vs Salamanca UDS (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
