Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.25 – our chance 51% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +67%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDraw ✗51% · @3.25
Double chanceRSD Alcalá or draw ✓80% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–0 ✗9% · fair 10.54
RSD Alcalá vs CF Talavera: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
RSD Alcalá welcome CF Talavera for a Segunda División RFEF Group 5 fixture on Sunday 6 September (11:00 WAT). In the table, RSD Alcalá are 13th, lower half, on 10 points after 10 matches; CF Talavera are 8th (upper half) with 15.
Current form
RSD Alcalá, last 5: DLDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Gimnástica Segoviana, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
CF Talavera, last 5: LDLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Getafe II, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours RSD Alcalá, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for CF Talavera.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give RSD Alcalá 1.3 xG, CF Talavera 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – RSD Alcalá 29%, draw 51%, CF Talavera 20%.
Lower-risk option: RSD Alcalá or draw (80%) at 1.30.
Price worth noting: Draw @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was RSD Alcalá or draw (80%, odds 1.30 – longer than our fair 1.25, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: RSD Alcalá 1–1 CF Talavera. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
RSD Alcalá29%fair 3.51 · @2.10
Draw51%fair 1.94 · @3.25
CF Talavera20%fair 4.99 · @3.00
2.36Expected goals
1.26RSD Alcalá xG
1.09CF Talavera xG
47%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: RSD Alcalá 1.3 – 1.1 CF Talavera expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
51%
1.94
3.25 ▲
Double chance
RSD Alcalá or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
–
Draw no bet
RSD Alcalá (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
CF Talavera +1 (Asian handicap)✗
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
RSD Alcalá to score first✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT RSD Alcalá / FT RSD Alcalá✗
23%
4.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–0✗
9%
10.54
–
Recent results
RSD Alcalá – last 6
DLDWWW
19 Aug
vs Gimnástica Segoviana
1–1
D
3 May
vs CD Coria
1–2
L
26 Apr
@ Quintanar del Rey
0–0
D
19 Apr
vs Rayo Vallecano II
3–0
W
12 Apr
@ Fuenlabrada
2–0
W
5 Apr
vs Las Palmas II
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
CF Talavera – last 6
LDLDLW
19 Aug
vs Getafe II
0–1
L
14 Aug
@ Illescas
1–1
D
10 May
@ Osasuna II
1–2
L
22 Mar
@ Guadalajara
1–1
D
20 Feb
@ Ponferradina
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Arenteiro
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between RSD Alcalá and CF Talavera.
What is the prediction for RSD Alcalá vs CF Talavera?
Our pick is RSD Alcalá or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win RSD Alcalá vs CF Talavera?
On our numbers RSD Alcalá have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 51% and CF Talavera 20%.
How many goals will there be in RSD Alcalá vs CF Talavera?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for RSD Alcalá vs CF Talavera?
Our predicted score is RSD Alcalá 1–1 CF Talavera, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is RSD Alcalá vs CF Talavera?
RSD Alcalá vs CF Talavera (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
