Value bet: Draw @ 3.10 – our chance 53% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +63%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDraw ✗53% · @3.10
Double chanceCalvo Sotelo or draw ✗78% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–0 ✗11% · fair 9.51
Calvo Sotelo vs Gimnástica Segoviana: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gimnástica Segoviana travel to face Calvo Sotelo on Sunday 6 September in the Segunda División RFEF Group 5 – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Calvo Sotelo are 18th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 10 matches; Gimnástica Segoviana are 14th (lower half) with 10.
Current form
Calvo Sotelo, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Marchamalo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Gimnástica Segoviana, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Real Madrid III, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Calvo Sotelo, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for Gimnástica Segoviana.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Calvo Sotelo 1.2 xG, Gimnástica Segoviana 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Calvo Sotelo 25%, draw 53%, Gimnástica Segoviana 22%.
Lower-risk option: Calvo Sotelo or draw (78%) at 1.40.
Price worth noting: Draw @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Calvo Sotelo or draw (78%, odds 1.40 – longer than our fair 1.29, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Calvo Sotelo 1–1 Gimnástica Segoviana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Calvo Sotelo25%fair 4.00 · @2.40
Draw53%fair 1.90 · @3.10
Gimnástica Segoviana22%fair 4.45 · @2.62
2.25Expected goals
1.15Calvo Sotelo xG
1.10Gimnástica Segoviana xG
46%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Calvo Sotelo 1.2 – 1.1 Gimnástica Segoviana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
53%
1.90
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Calvo Sotelo or draw✗
78%
1.29
1.40 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
–
Draw no bet
Calvo Sotelo (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Gimnástica Segoviana +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Calvo Sotelo to score first✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Calvo Sotelo / FT Calvo Sotelo✗
21%
4.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–0✗
11%
9.51
–
Recent results
Calvo Sotelo – last 6
WWDWWL
2 Apr
@ Marchamalo
3–1
W
15 Mar
vs Tarancón
2–0
W
8 Mar
@ Pedroñeras
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs Sonseca
3–1
W
22 Feb
vs San Clemente
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Villacañas
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Gimnástica Segoviana – last 6
LLLDLW
29 Aug
vs Real Madrid III
0–1
L
26 Aug
@ Leganés II
1–2
L
22 Aug
vs Rayo Majadahonda
0–1
L
19 Aug
@ RSD Alcalá
1–1
D
15 Aug
vs Unionistas de Salamanca
0–1
L
8 Aug
vs Atlético Madrid II
2–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Calvo Sotelo and Gimnástica Segoviana.
What is the prediction for Calvo Sotelo vs Gimnástica Segoviana?
Our pick is Calvo Sotelo or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Calvo Sotelo vs Gimnástica Segoviana?
On our numbers Calvo Sotelo have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 53% and Gimnástica Segoviana 22%.
How many goals will there be in Calvo Sotelo vs Gimnástica Segoviana?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Calvo Sotelo vs Gimnástica Segoviana?
Our predicted score is Calvo Sotelo 1–1 Gimnástica Segoviana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Calvo Sotelo vs Gimnástica Segoviana?
Calvo Sotelo vs Gimnástica Segoviana (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
