Real Valladolid II v Navalcarnero Prediction & Expected Goals (6 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultReal Valladolid II to win ✓59% · @1.95

Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · fair 1.18

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · fair 1.98

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.31

Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗6% · fair 17.93

Real Valladolid II vs Navalcarnero: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Navalcarnero travel to face Real Valladolid II on Sunday 6 September in the Segunda División RFEF Group 5 – the ball rolls at 11:00 WAT. In the table, Real Valladolid II are 6th, upper half, on 17 points after 10 matches; Navalcarnero are 7th (upper half) with 16. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Real Valladolid II, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Leganés II, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Navalcarnero, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Fuenlabrada, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Real Valladolid II, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Navalcarnero.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Real Valladolid II 1.8 xG, Navalcarnero 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Real Valladolid II 59%, draw 15%, Navalcarnero 26%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Real Valladolid II to win (59%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.71, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Valladolid II 1–0 Navalcarnero. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Real Valladolid II59%fair 1.71 · @1.95

Draw15%fair 6.53 · @3.50

Navalcarnero26%fair 3.82 · @3.10

2.78Expected goals

1.75Real Valladolid II xG

1.03Navalcarnero xG

50%Both score

53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

1–011%

2–110%

2–010%

0–16%

0–06%

From our goals model: Real Valladolid II 1.8 – 1.0 Navalcarnero expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Real Valladolid II to win ✓	59%	1.71	1.95 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	85%	1.18	–
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	50%	1.98	–
Draw no bet	Real Valladolid II (draw no bet) ✓	69%	1.45	–
Asian handicap	Navalcarnero +1 (Asian handicap)	60%	1.67	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	77%	1.31	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	53%	1.90	1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	70%	1.44	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	85%	1.18	–
First team to score	Real Valladolid II to score first ✓	59%	1.69	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	41%	2.46	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Real Valladolid II / FT Real Valladolid II ✓	34%	2.98	–
Correct score	Correct score 3–0 ✗	6%	17.93	–

Real Valladolid II – last 6

DWWWLW

12 Aug	vs Leganés II	3–3	D
3 May	vs Burgos Promesas	2–0	W
26 Apr	@ Deportivo La Coruña II	1–0	W
19 Apr	vs Langreo	3–0	W
5 Apr	vs Bergantiños	3–4	L
29 Mar	@ Gimnástica Segoviana	2–1	W

2.3Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Navalcarnero – last 6

WDWLLL

3 May	vs Fuenlabrada	3–1	W
26 Apr	@ Colonia Moscardó	0–0	D
19 Apr	vs Conquense	2–0	W
5 Apr	vs Rayo Majadahonda	2–3	L
29 Mar	@ Quintanar del Rey	0–1	L
22 Mar	@ RSD Alcalá	0–1	L

1.2Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Numancia	10	5	4	1	+11	19
2	Salamanca UDS	10	6	1	3	+5	19
3	SS Reyes	10	6	1	3	+4	19
4	Conquense	9	5	3	1	+9	18
5	A Madrid III	10	5	3	2	+3	18
6	Real Valladolid II	10	5	2	3	+6	17
7	Navalcarnero	10	4	4	2	+3	16
8	CF Talavera	9	4	3	2	+3	15
9	Guadalajara	10	3	4	3	0	13
10	Albacete II	10	3	3	4	-11	12
11	Real Madrid III	10	2	5	3	-1	11
12	Atlético Tordesillas	10	2	4	4	0	10
13	RSD Alcalá	10	2	4	4	-1	10
14	Gimnástica Segoviana	10	2	4	4	-1	10
15	Atlético Paso	10	2	4	4	-2	10
16	Getafe II	10	1	5	4	-4	8
17	Real Ávila	10	2	1	7	-10	7
18	Calvo Sotelo	10	1	3	6	-14	6

Team

Pts

+11

-11

-1

-1

-1

-2

-4

-10

-14

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Real Valladolid II vs Navalcarnero?

Our pick is Real Valladolid II to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.

Who will win Real Valladolid II vs Navalcarnero?

On our numbers Real Valladolid II have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Navalcarnero 26%.

How many goals will there be in Real Valladolid II vs Navalcarnero?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Real Valladolid II vs Navalcarnero?

Our predicted score is Real Valladolid II 1–0 Navalcarnero, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Real Valladolid II vs Navalcarnero?

Real Valladolid II vs Navalcarnero (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Real Valladolid II v Navalcarnero: numbers & prediction